Yohay Elam | TalkMarkets | Page 153
Contributor's Links: Forex Crunch
Yohay Elam has been into forex trading for over 5 years, and shares the experience and the knowledge accumulated after taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, Elam has earned the significant share of his knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ...more

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EUR/USD Forecast Jan. 29 – Feb. 2 2018
EUR/USD had yet another excellent week, rising higher on US dollar weakness and Draghi’s unsuccessful jawboning. The upcoming week features GDP and inflation numbers. Here are highlights of this week and an updated technical analysis for EUR/USD.
Is EUR/USD Heading To 1.27? Two Models Point That Way
EUR/USD topped 1.25 in a turbulent week before falling back to the 1.24 handle.
US GDP Misses With 2.6% – USD Falls
The US economy grew at an annualized pace of 2.6%, significantly lower than 3% expected. Durable goods orders came out at 2.9% m/m, above 0.9% predicted. Core orders advanced by 0.6%, more than 0.5% forecast.
UK GDP Beats With 0.5% Q/Q – GBP/USD Remains Bid
The British economy grew by 0.5% in the last quarter of 2017, better than 0.4% that was expected. Year over year, and in this case for the entirety of 2017, the economy expanded by 1.5% against 1.5% that was projected.
EUR/USD: To 1.29 Or A Dip Before The Next Move?
EUR/USD topped 1.25 on Draghi’s weak jawboning but fell back down when Trump trumped up the dollar. What’s next?
German IFO Business Climate Beats With 117.6 – EUR/USD At 1.24
Generally stronger numbers from the IFO survey: the headline business climate reached 117.6 and the Current Assessment advanced to 127.7, both better than expected.
USD Recovers Amid Two Attempts To Talk It Up – Only A Dead Cat Bounce
US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that “a weak dollar is good for the US“. The greenback was already on the back foot and his words sparked a bigger drop in the currency.
GBP/USD Finally Taking A Breather At Key Resistance – Levels
GBP/USD is already well into the pre-EU Referendum levels. It had an initial struggle with 1.40 but the UK jobs report already sent it above 1.41, even though there was nothing impressive in that report.
USD/CAD: Will It Bounce From These Lows?
Dollar/CAD fell on Mnuchin’s endorsement of a weaker US dollar. But are the falls limited due to NAFTA?
Dollar Tumbles Even Lower As Mnuchin Endorses Weak Dollar
US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin says that a weaker dollar is ¨good for the US”. This is very different from the “strong dollar policy” that his predecessors from both parties traditionally had over many decades.
German PMIs Mixed – EUR/USD Maintains New Three-Year Highs
Germany’s manufacturing PMI missed expectations with a 2.1 points drop to 61.2 points. On the other hand, the services PMI jumped by 1.2 points to 57 points. These are mixed figures.
GBP/USD: Reaching Overbought Territory; Not A Buy Around Current Levels – Credit Agricole
GBP/USD flirted with the 1.40 level but has retreated after the initial move. It may have reached overbought territory.
ECB Preview: A Buy Opportunity On Draghi Trying To Down The Euro?
The European Central Bank convenes for its first decision in 2018. The new year already saw the halving of the bond-buying volume to 30 billion euros from 60 billion beforehand.
USD/JPY Extends Its Falls – Forecast Jan. 22-26 2018
Dollar/yen extended its downfall, trading at the 110 level but not going lower so far. The dollar’s weakness was felt in this pair and so did the attempts to recover. We have key events in the US and a rate decision by the BOJ.
GBP/USD Forecast Jan. 22-26 2018
GBP/USD extended its gains once again, riding higher on the weak US dollar and ignoring the worrying signs from the British economy. The jobs report and GDP stand out in a busy week. Here are key events and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD.
AUD/USD Forecast Jan. 22-26 2018
The Australian dollar extended its gains, flirting with the 0.80 level but not conquering it just yet, as Australian data was positive and the US dollar suffered a sell-off. Here is an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD.
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