Yohay Elam Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
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Yohay Elam has been into forex trading for over 5 years, and shares the experience and the knowledge accumulated after taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, Elam has earned the significant share of his knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ... more

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EUR/USD Forecast Mar. 27-31
EUR/USD had a mixed week. The last week of March features a key survey and fresh inflation figures. Is the ECB’s optimism justified?
US Core Durable Goods Orders Miss Expectations – USD Ignores
Durable goods orders are up 1.7% against 1.2% forecast. In addition, the previous figure was revised to the upside: 2.3% against 2% originally reported for January.
German PMIs Beat Expectations – EUR/USD Extends Gains
German business is bullish: the manufacturing PMI beat expectations with a score of 58.3 points, significantly better than 56.5 predicted.
AUD/USD: ‘Wait A Minute, Not So Fast’; Where To Target? – Danske
The Australian dollar seems to move according to the ebb and flow of the US dollar more than anything else. The team at Danske refocuses on the RBA and sets targets. Will the pair break below support?
USD: Cautious Outlook For Bulls – Two Views
The US dollar has been on the back foot, especially against the safe-haven Japanese yen. For those hanging on to the greenback, where can hope come from? Here are two opinions.
Yellen Does Not Help The US Dollar
The US dollar remains pressured as markets await the hyped vote on Trump-care.
The Other Trump Story Matters A Lot More
If Trump's healthcare reforms bill passes it is seen as a sign that Trump is in control, can pass complex legislation and then proceed to cut taxes and splashing the cash on infrastructure as promised during the campaign.
EUR: What The ECB Exit Strategy Would Look Like? – Barclays
Despite better growth, Barclays forecasts the output gap to remain negative in 2018, which should prevent a more hawkish ECB, according to Barclays.
Brits Are Back To Buying: Retail Sales Jump 1.4% – GBP Follows
Brits are back to buying: a rise of 1.4% in headline sales in February, much better than expected. While this is accompanied by a downwards revision, we have a beat also on the y/y numbers” 3.7%.
AUD/USD: In Consolidation Pattern; Weekly Close Key – NAB
The Australian dollar is torn between positive Chinese data and not-so-good employment data at home. The wobbles of the US dollar also play a role in AUD/USD.
Factoring In 3 Global Risk Themes; What’s The FX Trade? – BofA Merrill
The US dollar is struggling on the dovish hike and there is a “risk-off” sense in markets. What’s next?
USD Unable To Lick Its Wounds As Existing Home Sales Miss
Existing homes dropped by 3.7% in February to an annualized level of 5.48 million, a bit under expectations. The dollar was making small attempts to recover, but these were quite limited. The greenback extended its losses against the yen.
USD/JPY: Trading The US New Home Sales
US New Home Sales indicator is released monthly, and provides analysts with important data the health and direction of the housing sector. A higher reading than the market prediction is bullish for the dollar.
USD/JPY Loses Triple-Bottom On Extended US Sell-Off
The initial move towards the triple-bottom of 111.60 did not result in a breach of this magical level. US traders left the job to Asian traders, which pushed the Japanese currency below the point just as European traders sip their morning coffee.
GBP/USD Tops 1.25 On Extended USD Sell-Off, UK Inflation Echoes
The sell-off of the greenback continues into the wake of the European session and the pound is there to take advantage. GBP/USD is advancing and is now flirting with the round 1.25 number.
USD/JPY Hits Triple Bottom As Stocks Fall
The impact of the Federal Reserve’s dovish hike continues to hurt the US dollar, especially against the majors. More specifically for USD/JPY, often a bellwether for the wider US dollar trend, the risk-off sentiment has its impact as well.
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