Yohay Elam | TalkMarkets | Page 172
Contributor's Links: Forex Crunch
Yohay Elam has been into forex trading for over 5 years, and shares the experience and the knowledge accumulated after taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, Elam has earned the significant share of his knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ...more

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USD/CAD Forecast Oct. 16-20, 2017
Dollar/CAD slipped from the highs in a much-needed correction. The upcoming week’s highlights are the inflation and retail sales reports.
USD/JPY Is Off The Highs – Forecast Oct. 16-20 2017
Dollar/yen extended its losses from the previous week but remains entrenched in range. Mixed signals from the Fed weighed on the pair.
US Core Inflation Stuck At 1.7% Again – USD Falls Across The Board
Disappointing US inflation figures: CPI and core CPI both miss expectations and monthly and yearly figures. Core CPI y/y failed to rise and remains stuck at 1.7%. Will the Fed reconsider the planned December hike?
Mixed Messages From The Fed On The December Hike
Markets are pricing in a rate hike by the Fed in their last meeting of the year in December. This is in line with the dot-plot published in September and also Yellen’s insistence to hike despite the frustratingly low inflation.
ECB QE Tapering: Somewhere Between 25 To 40 Billion, For 9 Months
The ECB currently buys 60€ billion worth of government and corporate bonds a month and this program is set to run until the end of the year.
USD/CAD: Fading The Rallies Into BoC Meeting In 2 Weeks
The Canadian dollar stabilized after the recent turbulence and is looking for a new direction. What’s next for USD/CAD?
A Very Soft Brexit In Perpetuity? It Could Be Great For The Pound
The EU will offer the UK to stay in the EU for another two years after the expiry of Article 50 in March 2019. From then, the UK will continue its regular activity in the EU and this will last for two years, until 2021.
US PPI Beats Expectations – USD Ticks Up
Headline CPI came out at 0.4% as expected, but y/y it is up 2.6%, better than predicted. The US dollar lost some steam.
GBP/USD Falls As Brexit Talks Hit A Deadlock
GBP/USD reached a high of 1.3265 earlier in the day and ticked a bit lower. From there, its losses accelerated and it now trades at 1.3145. Support awaits at 1.3030.
Will The CPI Report Send The Dollar Down?
The US dollar had quite a few good weeks but seems to hesitate after the recent gains. Markets seem to be looking for a new direction.
FOMC Minutes Verdict: December Hike Still On
The Fed’s meeting minutes from the September meeting came out slightly more dovish than expected. Nevertheless, the FOMC remains on track to raise rates in December.
EUR/USD Continues Higher As Rajoy Speaks Again, JOLTS Miss
Everything is going in favor of EUR/USD as the situation in Spain seems to have calmed down and a US figure misses expectations. The pair has already reached a high 1.1857, extending the gains that were driven by Puigdemont’s speech yesterday.
GBP: The Case For A BoE November Hike Strengthening Further; Where To Target? – BTMU
BTMU FX Strategy Research notes that the GBP has started the week on firmer footing reflecting both a reduction in near-term political risk and building expectations of BoE monetary tightening.
EUR/USD Continues Drifting Higher Spain’s Response Is Awaited
It seems that at least for now, tensions are lower. EUR/USD reacted positively and continues drifting higher. At a minimum, the pair is not worried about the situation.
What Can We Expect From The Fed Minutes?
Barclays Capital Research expects the FOMC minutes from the September meeting to show that most participants see recent disinflation as largely driven by transitory factors.
EUR: Ahead Of The Catalan Vote: Possible Reactions
The EUR is expected to trade higher if there is no support for an UDI following the vote in the Catalan parliament later today.
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