Pursuit of Truth in Finance & Economics
Contributor's Links: UPFINA.com

The purpose of UPFINA.com is to seek the truth as it relates to economics, finance and money. We do not have all the answers, but our ethos dictates that we objectively analyze all information. 

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End Of The Rate Hike Cycle In 2019?
The concept is to hike rates ‘until something breaks’. The idea is the Fed will hike rates regardless of GDP growth trends or inflation and only stop when there’s damage to the economy.
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These Sectors & Companies Are Most Exposed To Higher Rates
There are three main types of debt: household debt, corporate debt, and government debt.
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Hotel Industry Signals Recession; JOLTS Amazingly Strong
The hotel industry is weak, which is a recession signal. This could be wrong like restaurant weakness was in 2016 and 2017. The JOLTS report showed the labor market is extremely strong.
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85% Of Fund Managers Say Global Economy Is Late Cycle
If you review consumer sentiment surveys, consumers are the most bullish near tops and the most bearish near bottoms. The main problem is the recency bias. In everyday life when a trend occurs people react to it.
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Online Retail Sales Effects On GDP Growth
Retail sales are changing and department stores aren’t keeping up causing them to lose significant market share to online stores.
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This Metric Hints Cycle Timing
Consumers appear to be correct with the rate of change of their long run inflation expectations. In the latest survey, one year inflation estimates increased 0.1% to 2.8% and 5 year expectations fell 0.2% to 2.3%.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

APPL APPELL PETE CORP
FB Facebook Inc
GOOGL Google (A shares)
MSFT Microsoft Corporation

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