Todd Sullivan | TalkMarkets | Page 2
Hedge Fund Manager, Owner of ValuePlays and Angel Investor
Contributor's Links: ValuePlays Rand Strategic Partners
Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. ...more

Articles

Latest Posts
17 to 32 of 742 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 ... 47 >>>
Are The LEI Right?
It is worth looking the component values of the LEI to understand why it does not reflect rising employment, rising real personal income, rising real retail sales and other hard count indicators of economic activity.
Real Income Higher
The economic data continues to march higher with today’s Real Personal Income release. When matched against Real Retail Sales the correlation between these measures of consumer financial health and recessions should be obvious.
Pessimism Has A Hair-Trigger, Optimism Not So Much
Investors following price-trends remain very skittish. SP500 history shows that  pessimists have used a rise often as an opportunity to increase negative bets.
Real Personal Income Revised Higher
High retail pessimism with rising trends in basic economic indicators has always been positive for economically sensitive equites despite few analysts expressing positive guidance.
Pessimism Continues To Fall
The important economic trends continued to trend higher despite most investors expecting a recession that has not occurred and not likely to occur near term.
Construction Spending Rises
The history of construction spending since 1993 reveals that this data tends to weaken prior to recessions.
Self-Employment Falls
At some point investors pay attention to companies reporting profits and raising guidance.
It’s All About Employment
If employment is rising, then nothing is broken.
Yield Curve Remains Bullish
The history of the yield curve shows that it rises prior to rises in equity indices.
Retail Sales And Truck Tonnage Stay On Trend
Real Retail Sales and Trucking Tonnage reports continue to hold for the former and remain on trend for the latter.
It Really Is As Simple As Employment
The SP500 is well above the lows of Oct 2022 but sentiment continues to register a decent level of pessimism.
Employment, Real Personal Income, Inflation… Favorable For Higher Equity Prices
Establishment Survey reports a gain of 187,000 and the Household Survey reports a gain of 222,000. Each continues the rising trend since 2020.
Rising Yield Curve Means Rising Market
As inflation persists, rates are likely to rise as investors seek protection owning equities of companies that have the ability to pass through inflation’s costs and remain profitable.
Truck Tonnage Remains In Uptrend
Trucking Tonnage Index, a relatively volatile economic indicator, remains in a rising trend.
Nearly 1/2 Of SPR Gone
Our ability to weather a large supply disruption event dwindles daily.
Real Retail Sales Steady, Income Rises
Economic data indicate economic expansion is continuing and likely to do so for several years. This is positive for equity prices even with persistent inflation and rising interest rates.
17 to 32 of 742 Posts
<<< 1 2 3 4 ... 47 >>>