Contributor's Links: The Speculative Investor

I graduated from the University of Western Australia in 1984 with a degree in electronic engineering and from 1984 until 1998 worked in the commercial construction industry as an engineer, a project manager and an operations manager. 

I began investing in the stock market 2 ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Incomplete Silver COT Analysis
During March and April a number of articles appeared at precious-metals-focused web sites describing the silver market’s Commitments of Traders (COT) situation as extremely bullish.
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An Update On Gold’s True Fundamentals
The fundamental backdrop (from gold’s perspective) is little changed since 20th March. In fact, it has not changed much since early this year.
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Bull Market Correction Or Bear Market?
With regard to US stock market sentiment, there was an optimistic extreme in January of this year. This is evidenced by the TSI Index of Bullish Sentiment (TIBS) hitting a 20-year high at that time.
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The Short That Keeps On Giving?
TSLA bears will have to remain on guard, though, because Elon “the carnival barker” Musk is still capable of whipping up enthusiasm.
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Trade As A Zero Sum Game
The Trump Administration is being influenced by the view that international trade is a zero sum game, where whomever receives the most money is the winner. This mercantilism is the wrong way to view the world.
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Another Look At Gold’s True Fundamentals
The major long-term driver of the gold price is confidence in the official money and in the institutions (governments, central banks and private banks) that create/promote/sponsor the official money.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
SPY SPDR S&P 500

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The Speculative Investor
Steven Saville
Steven Saville

In an average week, TSI subscribers receive two reports: a Weekly Market Update on Sunday and an Interim Update on Thursday morning (NYT). The Weekly Update typically has 3000-4500 words and 10-15 charts, while the average Interim Update is about half that size. As well as containing information about the gold, currency, stock, bond and commodity markets, these reports regularly include discussions about macro-economics. The economics-related discussions are from an “Austrian” perspective, because I’ve found that the Austrian School is the only school of economics that is consistently logical and explains how the world really works.

TSI subscribers also get access to a list of stock selections. The TSI stock selections have provided very good long-term returns; however, due to the highly speculative nature of the stocks I tend to focus on, my year-to-year returns have been ‘lumpy’, to put it mildly.