Chief Market Strategist
Contributor's Links: finomgroup.com

After 20 years in the retail and consumer goods sector, I became a research analyst and market strategist for Capital Ladder Advisory Group. Since 2011, I have published some 400+ articles surrounding mainstream retailers like Bed Bath & Beyond, Target, Costco and more. I've covered ... more

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Gundlach's Warnings & Fear Mongering: Several Years In The Making
The trade war takes center stage as global markets attempt to parse out the potential impact.
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E Adding Up The Pieces For The Weekly Trade: Volatility, Yield Curve, Tariffs
The SPX expected move for the coming week is only $30. I say “only $30” because the prior week’s expected move was $42, which failed to be achieved.
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When The S&P 500 And VIX Share Trading Trajectory?
Remember the daily record advances in the S&P 500 back in January of this year. Remember the VIX rising alongside such advances as the RSI hit record levels during this time period.
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Is The VIX Warning Us Of Another Calamity To Come
August is typically a lesser performing month for the S&P 500, only to be outdone by September. September is historically the worst performing month of the year for the stock market.
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Trading Volatility Through Elevating Global Trade Turmoil
Earnings drive markets over time. Until the global trade issues resolve themselves in negative earnings, investors have been willing to overlook fear in favor of presented earnings growth.
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E 2018 Market Volatility And Volatility Trading Update
We foresee future bouts of volatility in the coming months that will plunge the VIX below 11% and take it above 22%, even if ever so briefly.
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Comments

Latest Comments
Adding Up The Pieces For The Weekly Trade: Volatility, Yield Curve, Tariffs
7 hours ago

Inform me as to where you've determined this assertion in my verbiage. Trolling is not acceptable. Based on what "I think I see in this comment".

In this article: SPX, VIX, NDX
Fed Maintains Rates, Says The Economy Is Strong
1 month ago

Apple can't push up the markets huh? Just teasing, great article just a little irony given yesterday's headwinds vs. Apple's performance proving a tailwind.

In this article: AAPL, CAT
Warning: The Everything Bubble Is In Serious Trouble
2 months ago

In terms of inflation, such conditions don't exist but for brief periods, very brief periods as proven across every inflationary metric. It's why the term reflation is more commonly being used in the modern era. The reason for more rates hikes is less about inflation given the history of inflationary data points and more about the Fed's desire to raise rates to be more on par with economic output as it aims to also give itself breathing room should they need to lower rates in the future. My opinions of course.

In this article: SPX, TNX
Warning: The Everything Bubble Is In Serious Trouble
2 months ago

I'm not sure where it's debatable that the Fed is the only authority with regards to its balance sheet and actions related to its holdings. Somewhat a red herring argument no and somewhat unrelated. Nonetheless, something I will certainly read as I'm speaking out our annual conference and appreciate a wide range of resources to include in my materials. Thank you kindly!

In this article: SPX, TNX
Warning: The Everything Bubble Is In Serious Trouble
2 months ago

Investors for equities? Bonds? I think many in equities but the cyclical demand for bonds/yield back even then was significantly lower than the previous cycle. Demand peak for 2008 cycle that you might say started post 9-11 was right around 5% yields. The cycle leading up to dotcom crash was above 6.5%. So while we like to say the "Fed is responsible for this and that" debt tells a very constant and different story that ends with the inefficiency of the Fed rather than any causation from the Fed. Colloquialism are great for superficial rambling, but they mostly fail the sniff test.

In this article: SPX, TNX
Warning: The Everything Bubble Is In Serious Trouble
2 months ago

My point is bond yields only go in one direction long-term and as fundamental economic principle, also displayed but the historic chart of yields where they begin in the upper left hand corner and ultimately decline from there and to current, at least. The can only do so much, again as indicated in the history of supply and demand for debt and for very brief periods of time. Hard to believe that the Fed, at this stage of modern economics, would be able to fool the amount of investors and governments needed to inflate demand to any significant degree.

In this article: SPX, TNX
Warning: The Everything Bubble Is In Serious Trouble
2 months ago

Thank you Gary, and with respect to your comment/reply there is historically depleting demand for bonds over time. This can be reviewed with a historic chart of the 10-yr yield?

In this article: SPX, TNX
Warning: The Everything Bubble Is In Serious Trouble
2 months ago

How can this be accurately viewed when accounting for wages, unemployment and the fact that even with yields rising, in kind with the pace of wages at this stage, we're still talking about a 10yr yield that will be nearly a full percentage point below the prior cycle's peak?

In this article: SPX, TNX
Stock Market Investor Margin Debt Reaches New High
2 months ago

But margin debt reached record levels in 2013, only to find it increasing through 2016 before dropping again. None of which resulted in a calamitous market crash as presumed in your article.

In this article: SPX, DJI
Stock Of The Week: Starbucks Corporation
3 months ago

How does it make sense to suggest that a restroom policy whereby individual patrons are allowed to use their bathrooms absent a purchase is a fundamental change. Firstly, when did they not allow such activity? Just because one store had an incident doesn't mean that an unstated policy wasn't still in effect as a business practice. Secondly, which retailer is play sheriff at the entrance/exit to ensure patrons are not just browsing or loitering? Is it McDonalds. Is it Wendy's, is it Wal-Mart, Target etc. Of course none of these retailers are monitoring such activities. It's the difference between public relations of no consequence to battle a headline of the day from an incident in one location.

In this video: SBUX
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AAPL Apple Inc.
BBBY Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation
FEYE FireEye, Inc.
FIT Fitbit, Inc.
JCP J.C. Penney Company Inc.
M Macy's Inc.
NKE Nike Inc.
PEP PepsiCo Inc.
SODA SodaStream International Ltd.
TGT Target Corporation
UVXY PowerShares Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II
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S&P 500 Consolidation Persists: 3 Big Market Calls By Marko Kolanovic
Whether it is trade with China or the Iran nuclear deal/sanctions that are still in search for resolution, all geo-political issues can be “trumped” by the fears of inflation/reflation.
Understanding Volatility And Vetting Resources Is Required For VIX Traders
The VIX or volatility doesn’t die nor does it have the ability to die, but rather it expresses an ability for a market or markets to mature past the point of greatest fears and from the events that cause fear to have taken place.

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