Professor, Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland

Professor Peter Morici is a recognized expert on economic policy and international economics. Prior to joining the university, he served as director of the Office of Economics at the U.S. International Trade Commission. He is the author of 18 books and monographs and has published widely in ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Yield Curve Jitters And Forecasts For The Weeks Of December 18 And 25
According to the Atlanta Fed model, leading indicators predict a 3.5% fourth-quarter growth. That’s remarkable following second- and third-quarter growth at or above 3% but for some analysts a flattening yield curve could harken another recession.
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Jerome Powell Won’t Mess Up The Strong Economy He’s Been Dealt
This week, the Federal Reserve will likely have its last monetary policy meeting with both Jerome Powell and Janet Yellen in the building. This provides an opportunity to look forward to where the economy is going.
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Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of Dec. 11 And Dec. 18
My forecasts for upcoming economic data, including November PPI and CPI.
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Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of December 4 And December 11
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data including important releases such as the NY Fed Manufacturing Index, PPI and Capacity Utilization.
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Stocks Hits New Highs But Tax Cut Critical To Bull Market
In the near term, markets are driven by psychology as much as economic fundamentals, and the success of the Trump Administration at implementing a pro-growth tax cut and deregulation are critical to establishing a positive tone for 2018.
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Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 27 And December 4
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data including such important releases as GDP Initial Unemployment Claims and Consumer Confidence.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

AIG American International Group Inc
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
BP BP p.l.c.
C Citigroup Inc.
GM General Motors Company
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Google)
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
IYH iShares Dow Jones U.S. Healthcare Sector Index Fund
RSX MARKET VECTORS RUS ETF
SPY SPDR S&P 500

TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts
Decoding The Donald's Approach
The incoming president is pragmatic, not ideological.
Why A Fed Interest Rate Hike Would Help, Not Hurt Trump
The Federal Reserve would do Donald Trump and his supporters a favor by raising interest rates.
How Democrats Promote Poverty And Inequality
Hillary Clinton has made addressing inequality a central theme of her campaign, but the remedies she proposes are often worse than the disease.
​Americans Would Prosper Better With A Republican President
Unless a president presides over an absolute disaster—as did George W. Bush or Herbert Hoover—comparing one with another is tricky business. Too much depends on the domestic circumstances each inherits and conditions in the wider global economy.
Why America Is Not Safe From Islamic Terrorism
America cannot be safe from terrorism unless it roots out and destroys the Islamic State—at home and in the Middle East.

Work Experience

Economist and Professor of Business
University of Maryland
1996 - Present (22 years 3 months)
Director of Economics
U.S. Internaitonal Trade Commission
1993 - 1995 (3 years)

Education

State University of New York at Albany
PhD
1970 / 1974
Economics

Publications

Currency Manipulation and Free Trade
Peter Morici
Peter Morici
12/01/2004
The Doha Round
Peter Morici
Nucor Corporation