Michael Carr | TalkMarkets | Page 4

Michael Carr

Michael Carr is an American investor, a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a contributing editor for Winning Investor Daily. He is a longtime member of the Market Technicians Association (MTA), where he serves as the editor of its newsletter, “Technically Speaking.” He is ...more
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Low Volatility Points To Dow 57,000 In 4 Years
Thursday, October 26, 2017 12:10 PM EDT
Volatility is at an 80-year low. With low inflation, low-interest rates and steady economic growth, this stock market could double in the next four years. That puts the Dow at 57,000. History tells us that a strong bull market is possible.
In this article: VIX, DJI
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How Trump Will Change The Fed Forever
Tuesday, October 24, 2017 1:00 PM EDT
The Taylor rule suggests that rate cuts should have started about three months earlier, and that could have prevented large losses in the stock market. The rule also identifies when negative rates are appropriate.
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More Proof This Bull Market Will Last
Monday, October 23, 2017 3:52 PM EDT
Stocks are in a bull market. Skeptics argue that the bull market is built on a pile of sand. And, they warn, sand piles have a habit of collapsing suddenly. But the stock market isn’t ready to collapse.
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Stocks Are 40% Undervalued Right Now
Thursday, October 19, 2017 2:51 PM EDT
Warren Buffett’s teacher, Ben Graham, taught that the proper P/E ratio depended on interest rates. He wrote that the P/E ratio should be equal to the inverse of the long-term interest rate. This all means stocks have significant upside potential.
In this article: SPY, SPX
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The Fed Is Set To Trigger A Recession In December
Tuesday, October 17, 2017 12:24 PM EDT
The recession indicator isn’t a pinpoint timing tool. Recessions followed signals by six to 34 months in the past, with an average lead time of 17 months. We should expect the next recession to occur in late 2018 or early 2019.
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Japan’s 28-Year Bear Market Is Finally Over
Thursday, October 12, 2017 12:39 PM EDT
The Nikkei 225 Index, a benchmark index for Japan, peaked in 1989. But stocks are now rallying, closing at a 21-year high this week.
In this article: DXJ
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Two Charts Target A 7% Gain By The End Of The Year
Tuesday, October 10, 2017 12:30 PM EDT
Investors can buy the iShares Russell 2000 ETF for exposure to small caps. IWM could gain another 7% in the short-term based on two different techniques.
In this article: IWM
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Stocks Soared 26% The Last Time This Happened
Monday, October 9, 2017 5:06 PM EDT
Earnings drive returns. As EPS approaches all-time highs, stocks should rally. In the past, after setting the new high, the rally has continued. That means we should enjoy the rally in stocks for as long as it lasts.
In this article: QQQ, SPX
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This Early Warning Sign Shows That All Is Not Well
Thursday, October 5, 2017 3:22 PM EDT
This month, analysts are expecting a small gain in employment and no change in the unemployment rate. Payroll tax receipts growth confirms that outlook.
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This Chart Shows How The Smart Money Became Smart
Monday, October 2, 2017 2:24 PM EDT
As Hurricane Irma approached Florida, traders looked for possible gains. One market that seemed attractive was orange juice.
In this article: DJUBSOJ
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When This Chart Changes, All Markets Will Crash
Thursday, September 28, 2017 3:11 PM EDT
Investors will see volatility and declines more often. Consumers will suffer as prices rise at stores. Overall, it will simply be terrible. And it’s likely to happen within the next few years.
In this article: SPX
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October Begins The Best 3 Months Of The Year
Tuesday, September 26, 2017 8:34 PM EDT
In an average year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 produce half of their gains in this three-month period. For the Nasdaq Composite Index, the gain in the last three months of the year is about 40% of the annual average return.
In this article: QQQ
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Small Caps Are Set To Lead The Next Bear Market
Monday, September 18, 2017 3:01 PM EDT
Small caps always lead the market, both up and down. For now, the trend is up.
In this article: IWM
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More Than 80% Of The Stock Market Is Overvalued
Tuesday, September 12, 2017 1:13 PM EDT
By any measure, the stock market is expensive. But the market is a collection of stocks. Instead of focusing on the market, we can also analyze the stocks that make up the market.
In this article: SPX
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Hurricane Harvey Could Cause A Recession
Tuesday, September 5, 2017 3:40 PM EDT
It will be months before we know the full impact of Hurricane Harvey. It’s one of the deadliest storms in decades. It’s also likely to be one of the costliest in history.
In this article: ALL
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These Are The Worst Sectors Of The Past 5 Years. 1 Of Them Is A Buy Now
Tuesday, September 5, 2017 11:00 AM EDT
Stocks behave in different ways in different time frames. Studies show stocks trend sometimes and exhibit “mean-reverting behavior” at other times.
In this article: XLU, XLB, XLE
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