Michael Carr is an American investor, a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a contributing editor for Winning Investor Daily. He is a longtime member of the Market Technicians Association (MTA), where he serves as the editor of its newsletter, “Technically Speaking.” ... more

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This Chart Shows How Bullish Tax Reform Is
Tax reform will affect not just taxes but also companies’ earnings. And analysts have been scrambling to increase their earnings estimates.
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The S&P 500 Taps This Team To Win The Super Bowl
There’s a reason the Super Bowl indicator works. And since it does work, that means we can even use the stock market to predict the Super Bowl.
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This Rare Signal Just Triggered, And It’s Not Good
This is just the seventh time this rare signal has happened since 2002. And it's saying the odds of a market sell-off just increased.
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China Shows How To Fight A 21st Century Trade War
Tariffs give a country time to develop a capability or to protect a critical industry. However, China showed there could be a better way to fight a trade war.
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Traders Are Betting The Fed Is Wrong
The weekly reports of traders’ positions let us see what the smart money is doing, and right now, the smart money is betting against the Fed.
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S&P 500 Still Far From A Bubble
The ROC chart tells us how fast the stock market is going.In the stock market, the speed limit is about 40%. When stocks advance more than 40% in a year, a crash often follows. Here's what the ROC chart shows today.
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A Buy Signal for Everything was just posted to Michael Carr's personal blog.
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I Saw This 1 Chart … and Now I’m Bullish was just posted to Michael Carr's personal blog.
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A Buy Signal For Everything
Asset prices are too high. But they could go higher. Here's why the bull market should continue for months, delivering large gains to investors willing to ignore the conventional wisdom.
The End Is Near
When the next bear market comes, this money will drive downside risks when investors see stock prices go down as well as up. Billions of dollars are in leveraged ETFs. They will lose money twice or thrice as fast, as plain vanilla funds are another source of selling pressure.
I Saw This 1 Chart … And Now I’m Bullish
To monitor breadth, I like to watch the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average (MA). The important level to watch is 65%. We have a bull market above that level. When less than 65% of the stocks in the S&P 500 Index are above their 200-day MA, the market usually declines.
This Could Be The End Of The Bull Market
According to S&P Dow Jones Indices, companies in the S&P 500 bought about $120 billion worth of their own stock last quarter. This was down from a year ago. It’s the fifth consecutive quarter that the amount spent declined compared to a year ago.
Homebuilders Now Know How To Squeeze Consumers
New homebuyers face limited choices and high prices. The average new home sells for almost $315,000, well beyond the means of the average household. That’s unlikely to change since supply will remain low if builders choose to keep it low.
Pop Music Warns Of A Stock Market Correction
The idea is simple. Cheerful and fun songs are popular during positive mood periods, and somber or bitter songs proliferate in negative mood environments, according to socionomist Robert Prechter.
Some Homeowners Are Still Down Even After A 79% Rally
The S&P/Case-Shiller NV-Las Vegas Home Price Index fell 62% from its 2006 peak. At the low, homeowners who bought the top needed a 162% gain to get back to breakeven. They are moving closer to breakeven, but many are still years away from the home prices of 2006.

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