Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin
Contributor's Links: Econbrowser University of Wisconsin

Menzie David Chinn is a professor of public affairs and economics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison. He, along with James Hamilton, are co-authors of Econbrowser, a weblog on current macroeconomic ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Imminent Yield Curve Inversions?
Around the world, some 10 year-3 month government bond yield spreads are shrinking.
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Farm PPI And Prospects For The Farm Sector
Farm commodity prices have been depressed by trade retaliation spurred by US tariffs imposed under Section 232 and Section 301, as well as the strong dollar associated with expansionary fiscal policy.
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14 Months, 8 Months, 16 Months
If you are wondering about the headline, that’s the amount of time between 10 year-3 month yield curve inversions and the beginning of the subsequent NBER-dated recession (these are the three recessions in the Great Moderation period)
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US Gets China To Agree To What It Was Going To Do Anyway
In a significant concession, Mr. Trump will postpone a plan to raise tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods to 25 percent, from 10 percent, on Jan. 1. This picture says it all...
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USDA Speaks
The outlook for soybean exports has darkened considerably since the August forecast. The FY2019 forecast for export value has been revised down 11.6%, 8.2% of the decline accounted for by quantity revision.
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Odds On A Trade Truce: Soybean Edition
The gap between US and Brazil soybean prices is (finally) shrinking.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

FXE Euro Currency Trust
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
XHB SPDR S&P HMBLDRS IDX FND
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

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45 Years Of Nominal Soybean Prices
Chart covering 45 years of nominal soybean prices.

Work Experience

Education

University of California, Berkeley
PhD
Economics

Publications