Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin
Contributor's Links: Econbrowser University of Wisconsin

Menzie David Chinn is a professor of public affairs and economics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison. He, along with James Hamilton, are co-authors of Econbrowser, a weblog on current macroeconomic ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

N. Dakota “Orphan Soybeans” At 236 Million Bushels
In 2017, the US exported 1.2 billion bushels to China: North Dakota’s orphan soybeans today are nearly 1/5 of total sales to China in 2017.
Read
I’m Already Tired Of Winning: Midwest Ag Trade Edition
This is my call for all the commenters who claimed that farmers were just going to “wait out the Chinese” and be able to sell their crops at a profit when prices recovered in the Fall, to provide countering evidence in favor of their predictions.
Read
EC You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet
We are in a multi-faceted competition with China, but tariffs are an ineffective means of countering Chinese economic misbehavior.
Read
“So China Is Now Paying Us Billions Of Dollars In Tariffs”
How does a tariff work? A tariff is a tax on imported goods, so if a Chinese good is sold to an American, the American literally has to pay the tax.
Read
JP Morgan Chase: “U.S.-China Endgame Involving 25 Percent U.S. Tariffs On All Chinese Goods In 2019”
As the CNY against the US dollar drops, so too might other East Asian currencies. We can expect the dollar to remain strong partly due to thevmacro policy mix in the US — expansionary fiscal policy at full employment and tightening monetary policy.
Read
Learning From History And Modeling: Chinese Trade Retaliation Choices
As Mr. Trump escalates the rhetorical war against China, watch to see China deviate from those principles to infer the trajectory of the Chinese retaliation. From my reading, the Chinese have not backed down in the past. Perhaps they will this time.
Read

STOCKS I FOLLOW

FXE Euro Currency Trust
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
XHB SPDR S&P HMBLDRS IDX FND
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR

TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts
45 Years Of Nominal Soybean Prices
Chart covering 45 years of nominal soybean prices.

Work Experience

Education

University of California, Berkeley
PhD
Economics

Publications