James Picerno Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator

James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ... more

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US Industrial Output Trend Accelerated To Eight-Year High
Yesterday’s update on industrial activity in the US for September delivered a new round of bullish news for the economic outlook.
Retail Sales Weakened In September But The Trend Is Still Solid
Yesterday’s US retail sales report for September inspired breathless headlines in some corners that consumer spending hit a wall. But a closer look at the numbers still leaves room for a healthy dose of optimism.
Bonds Popped Last Week As Stocks Stumbled
Foreign bonds posted the strongest gain for the major asset classes last week, delivering a contrast with falling prices in equity markets around the world.
Mideast And US Hold On To Only Regional Equity Gains This Year
The global selloff in stock markets around the world this week has left equities in the Middle East and the US with the world’s only year-to-date gains for the major regions, based on a set of exchange-traded funds through yesterday’s close (Oct.11).
Parsing Yesterday’s Stock Market Slide
No one knows if yesterday’s 3%-plus plunge in US equities is noise or the start of an extended decline. What we do know is that the slide wasn’t entirely unexpected given the strong relative and absolute performance of US stocks in recent history.
What Are You Expecting From Gold In Your Portfolio Strategy?
Thinking of gold as another means of tapping into foreign currency exposure can be an eye-opening revelation for some investors who would otherwise steer clear of forex risk in their portfolios. But recent history speaks volumes.
Deep-Value ETF Report: A Slightly Longer List
Commodities have fared better in recent weeks, but this slice of the major asset classes was already suffering from a longer-run perspective and so there are still plenty of relative bargains on this front.
Commodities Posted Lone Gain Last Week For Major Asset Classes
With the exception of broadly defined commodities, all the major asset classes lost ground in the first week of October, based on a set of exchange-traded products.
US Companies Added Fewer Workers Than Expected In September
Private payrolls in the US increased 121,000 in September, well below Econoday.com’s consensus forecast for a 175,000 gain.
Growth And Momentum Factors Still Leading For US Stocks In 2018
Yesterday’s sharp sell-off in US stocks delivered haircuts far and wide, but the setback left growth and momentum factors in the lead for year-to-date equity performance, based on a set of exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
10-Year Treasury Yield Surges To Seven-Year High
If there was any doubt that a regime of rising interest rates has arrived, the Treasury market on Wednesday dispatched a wake-up call.
Strong US GDP Growth Expected To Moderate In Third Quarter
Economic output for the US is on track to post a slower-but-still-healthy gain in the preliminary GDP report for the third quarter that’s scheduled for publication later this month.
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - Oct. 2, 2018
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) was unchanged in September, holding steady at an annualized 5.0% — matching the estimate in the previous month.
Major Asset Classes Performance Review For September 2018
Broadly defined commodities led the performance horse race in September for the major asset classes. The return marked the first monthly advance for commodities since May, which was also the last time that raw materials writ large led the field.
Market Outlook Sees Treasury Yields Continuing To Trend Higher
The prospect of more interest-rate increases in the absence of rising inflation, based on the Federal Reserve’s latest forecast, strikes some as unnecessarily risky for the economy.
Mideast, US Still Lead Regional Equity Markets Returns This Year
Stock markets in the Middle East and Gulf are holding on to a small performance edge over the US equity market so far in 2018, based on a set of exchange-traded funds.
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