James Picerno Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator

James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ... more

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Treasury Market’s Inflation Forecast Plunges
The implied inflation outlook via Treasury yield spreads in recent months has been pricing in a possibility that inflation has peaked.
Commodities And Bonds Rose Last Week As Stocks Tumbled
US and foreign stock markets fell sharply last week as broadly defined commodities and bonds gained ground, according to a set of exchange-traded products representing the major asset classes.
Growth Rate For US Payrolls Continued To Slow In November
The pace of hiring at companies slowed in November. The softer-than-projected gain pared the year-over-year trend to a three month low.
Low Volatility Stocks Take The Lead In 2018’s US Factor Race
The latest bout of turbulence in the stock market has reshuffled leadership for US equity factor strategies, leaving the low-volatility strategy as this year’s front-runner, based on a set of ETFs.
US Q4 GDP Growth Remains On Track For Moderate Slowdown
Judging by the current outlook for US economic output in the fourth quarter, however, the macro trend still looks set to post moderate growth in GDP for 2018’s final three months.
Treasury Market Flashing A Warning For US Economy
Recession risk remains low for US, based on the latest economic data overall, but the Treasury market is pricing in a higher probability that growth will slow and perhaps lead to a downturn at some point in 2019.
ADP Employment Report: Trend Outlook (Nov. 2018)
Thursday’s release of ADP’s estimate of US private payrolls for November looks set to deliver another sign that US economic activity has peaked.
Major Asset Classes (November 2018) Performance Review
November brought relief for several asset classes after October’s rout. Red ink was far from banished, but there was a welcome upside bias in last month’s trading.
Growth Still Leading Equity-Factor Race As Value Sinks In 2018
Despite a turbulent run for the US stock market over the past two months, the growth factor’s edge is intact by a solid margin relative to value, based on a set of ETFs.
Combining Forecasts For Estimating Economic Trends
Adhering to best practices for combining forecasts, each model employs a different methodology.
Another Downshift Expected For US GDP Growth In Q4
Economic activity for the US appears headed for a second quarterly slowdown in the final three months of this year.
Nearly All The Major Asset Classes Lost Ground Last Week
US investment-grade bonds were the exception, courtesy of a flat performance.
US Business Cycle Risk Report - Friday, Nov. 23
Recession risk for the US remains low at the moment, but the signs are piling up that economic growth is slowing.
Mideast Stocks Are Outlier As World Regional Equity Markets Sink
The widespread selling in equity markets around the world has left most regions in the red for year-to-date performance.
Does Weaker Homebuilder Sentiment Signal Higher Macro Risk?
The hard data on the US housing market has been weakening for most of this year but the blowback for sentiment in the homebuilder industry has been mild – until now.
US Stocks Post The Only 1-Year Gain For The Major Asset Classes
The slow grind of selling in global markets this year has left the US equity market with the lone positive total return for the trailing one-year trend among the major asset classes.
1 to 16 of 1471 Posts
1 2 3 ... 92