Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services

I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market.  At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

The Natural Gas Gap Is Finally Filled
Today's decline was furthered by weak cash prices ahead of the holiday weekend and warmer short-term forecasts.
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The Front Of The Natural Gas Strip Keeps Deteriorating
The continued trend recently has been losses almost entirely at the front of the natural gas strip as the weather has offered gradually less support.
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Natural Gas Stumbles Out Of The Gate Again
December contract natural gas prices are now down five out of the last six trading sessions as cold to end November and bring in December has been rather unimpressive.
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The Natural Gas Gap Continues To Hold
The natural gas gap held again today as the December natural gas contract bounced off it and rallied a bit through the day on marginally colder weather forecasts.
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Mind The Gap: Natural Gas Bulls Continue To Defend Last Week's Gap
For a second straight day December contract natural gas prices bounced off support around the $3.05 level but were unable to break lower and fill the gap below.
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Volatile Long-Range Weather Models Continue To Whipsaw Natural Gas
December natural gas prices went for a ride today, bouncing off resistance just below $3.16 and selling heavily into support below around the $3.05 level.
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Comments

Latest Comments
Natural Gas Approaching Key Short-Term Support Level
1 year ago

Thank you! The case with #LNG is interesting as in the short-term it is not having too significant a demand impact (EIA estimates.5-.7 bcf/d), but longer-term could with further development and investment. Most analysis I conduct is focused on the near-term in the next few weeks/months of price action, but in what I have done as well it has become clear how comparatively cheap our gas is in comparison to other parts of the world.

In this article: UNG
Natural Gas Declines: Some Seasonality At Play
1 year ago

Thank you for your comment and kind words, Chetan! I began by studying meteorology and the impacts it has within the financial markets, and proceeded to home in on the natural gas market, a market known for swinging wildly due to changes in weather forecasts resulting in different energy demand expectations. To create analysis that was more useful to traders, I decided to pare weather analysis alongside other fundamental/technical analysis into a subscription product, so traders could subscribe and more easily determine when the weather or other fundamentals/technicals were driving price action. Since then, I've been researching other models/theories on price movement to combine alongside the meteorological analysis I conduct. I definitely enjoy posting to this site and plan to continue as regularly as I can.

1 to 2 of 2 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

BOIL ProShares Trust II
CHK Chesapeake Energy Corporation
COG Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
CORN Teucrium Corn ETF
DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund
DGAZ Dniprogaz JSC
JO iPath Bloomberg Coffee SubTR ETN
SOYB Teucrium Commodity Trust
SWN Southwestern Energy Co.
UGAZ Credit Suisse VelocityShares 3X Long Natural Gas Exchange Traded Notes 2012- Linked to S&P GSCI Natu
UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation
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TWEETS

LATEST ACTIVITY

Jacob Meisel
The Natural Gas Gap Is Finally Filled $UNG https://t.co/sEITwSMNa1
Jacob Meisel
5-day prompt #natgas average trading range lowest since 9/28. Seems like everyone left for the holiday a bit early.
Jacob Meisel
RT Bespoke_Weather: NAT GAS EIA DATA HIT: -46 bcf net implied flow for the week ending November 17th vs. BWS estimate of -48 bcf and marke…
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PERSONAL BLOG

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Work Experience

Chief Weather Analyst
Bespoke Weather Services
May 2015 - Present (2 years 7 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst and co-founder of Bespoke Weather Services, working with Bespoke Investment Group. I compile research reports using the latest weather data to alert energy (primarily natural gas) traders of upcoming major weather events that will influence market patterns. I similarly speculate in the physical natural gas futures market off of this weather data

Chief Weather Analyst and Founder
SWCT Weather
October 2008 - Present (9 years 3 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst of SWCT Weather, accurately forecasting localized weather impacts for Southwestern Connecticut and adjacent New York for the past 7 years

Research Assistant
NAVSTAR Advisors
May 2014 - September 2014 (5 months)

Education

Harvard University
Bachelor’s Degree
2013 / 2017
Social Studies (North American Climate and Politics), 3.7.

Publications