Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services

I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market.  At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Natural Gas Pulls Back But Sees Later Contracts Support
October natural gas prices settled down just less than 1% today, trading within a narrow 5.8-cent range following an even tighter range yesterday.
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Natural Gas Breaks Up As Heating Season Approaches
Natural gas prices appear to be breaking upwards today, as prompt month prices are finally above the critical $3.1 resistance level that had proven so difficult to overcome over the past few months.
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Jose To Strengthen And Natural Gas Pulls Back
Energy traders are keeping a close eye on Tropical Storm Jose as it still appears likely to move near the East Coast. Recent model guidance has shifted back a bit west, putting the Northeast more in the National Hurricane Center cone of uncertainty.
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Late-Season Cooling Demand Boosts Natural Gas Prices
Though late September rarely provides much in the way of weather-driven natural gas demand, weather model guidance is now demonstrating that we could see some impressive cooling demand over the next couple of weeks.
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Natural Gas Prices Bounce On Hotter Forecasts, Tighter Market
Natural gas prices were sitting up about 2% after a decent bounce yesterday. Though they are off their highs for the day, buying on very significant volume arrived early in the morning.
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Not Just Irma But Seasonal Weakness Pulled Natural Gas Lower
Will natural gas prices be able to successfully recover through September?
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Comments

Latest Comments
Natural Gas Approaching Key Short-Term Support Level
1 year ago

Thank you! The case with #LNG is interesting as in the short-term it is not having too significant a demand impact (EIA estimates.5-.7 bcf/d), but longer-term could with further development and investment. Most analysis I conduct is focused on the near-term in the next few weeks/months of price action, but in what I have done as well it has become clear how comparatively cheap our gas is in comparison to other parts of the world.

In this article: UNG
Natural Gas Declines: Some Seasonality At Play
1 year ago

Thank you for your comment and kind words, Chetan! I began by studying meteorology and the impacts it has within the financial markets, and proceeded to home in on the natural gas market, a market known for swinging wildly due to changes in weather forecasts resulting in different energy demand expectations. To create analysis that was more useful to traders, I decided to pare weather analysis alongside other fundamental/technical analysis into a subscription product, so traders could subscribe and more easily determine when the weather or other fundamentals/technicals were driving price action. Since then, I've been researching other models/theories on price movement to combine alongside the meteorological analysis I conduct. I definitely enjoy posting to this site and plan to continue as regularly as I can.

1 to 2 of 2 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

BOIL ProShares Trust II
CHK Chesapeake Energy Corporation
COG Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
CORN Teucrium Corn ETF
DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund
DGAZ Dniprogaz JSC
JO iPath Bloomberg Coffee SubTR ETN
SOYB Teucrium Commodity Trust
SWN Southwestern Energy Co.
UGAZ Credit Suisse VelocityShares 3X Long Natural Gas Exchange Traded Notes 2012- Linked to S&P GSCI Natu
UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation
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Jacob Meisel
andrepaltry Oh yeah, I've been watching the Oct cold risks for awhile. Think we get some excitement. Just not sold… more
Jacob Meisel
andrepaltry Is it bad that I've almost entirely stopped looking at any control/op runs past Days 4-5...
Jacob Meisel
We will undeniably be trending colder but this cold placement doesn't exactly scream big HDDs yet to me in early Oc… https://t.co/szCFXFjmDH
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PERSONAL BLOG

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Work Experience

Chief Weather Analyst
Bespoke Weather Services
May 2015 - Present (2 years 5 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst and co-founder of Bespoke Weather Services, working with Bespoke Investment Group. I compile research reports using the latest weather data to alert energy (primarily natural gas) traders of upcoming major weather events that will influence market patterns. I similarly speculate in the physical natural gas futures market off of this weather data

Chief Weather Analyst and Founder
SWCT Weather
October 2008 - Present (9 years 1 month)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst of SWCT Weather, accurately forecasting localized weather impacts for Southwestern Connecticut and adjacent New York for the past 7 years

Research Assistant
NAVSTAR Advisors
May 2014 - September 2014 (5 months)

Education

Harvard University
Bachelor’s Degree
2013 / 2017
Social Studies (North American Climate and Politics), 3.7.

Publications