Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services

I have been analyzing numerical weather guidance for nearly a decade with some of the most advanced weather modeling data available to meteorologists. Similarly, I have been researching commodities markets closely for four years now and providing directional trends for front-end physical natural ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Leaner Than Expected Storage Injection Rallies Natural Gas
Much of the move today in natural gas futures is due to bullish EIA data we noticed strong prompt month isolation, with the October contract up significantly more than any Winter or Spring 2017 contracts.
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EC Natural Gas Bounces Off 100-DMA
The prompt month September natural gas contract has bounced almost perfectly off its 100-Day Moving Average (DMA) today.
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Weather Eases And Natural Gas Plummets
Heading into the settle today, natural gas prices are likely to close down a bit under 2% after closing down 5% yesterday.
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Natural Gas Summer Doldrums
Despite over 151,000 September contracts being traded today, the contract saw a narrow trading range of only 5.6 cents, bringing the 5-day average trading range down to the lowest levels since June.
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Which Winter Month Is Weather Most Volatile?
Today we have continued to dig deeper into the winter forecast data that we will be integrating into our Weekly Climate Updates over the coming months for clients.
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EC Winter Forecasts Still Clouded With Noise
In early August, we begin to compile our ideas on winter weather and how we feel it would be prudent to position oneself in the energy markets into the winter given weather-related risks.
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Comments

Latest Comments
Natural Gas Approaching Key Short-Term Support Level
1 year ago

Thank you! The case with #LNG is interesting as in the short-term it is not having too significant a demand impact (EIA estimates.5-.7 bcf/d), but longer-term could with further development and investment. Most analysis I conduct is focused on the near-term in the next few weeks/months of price action, but in what I have done as well it has become clear how comparatively cheap our gas is in comparison to other parts of the world.

In this article: UNG
Natural Gas Declines: Some Seasonality At Play
1 year ago

Thank you for your comment and kind words, Chetan! I began by studying meteorology and the impacts it has within the financial markets, and proceeded to home in on the natural gas market, a market known for swinging wildly due to changes in weather forecasts resulting in different energy demand expectations. To create analysis that was more useful to traders, I decided to pare weather analysis alongside other fundamental/technical analysis into a subscription product, so traders could subscribe and more easily determine when the weather or other fundamentals/technicals were driving price action. Since then, I've been researching other models/theories on price movement to combine alongside the meteorological analysis I conduct. I definitely enjoy posting to this site and plan to continue as regularly as I can.

1 to 2 of 2 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

BOIL ProShares Trust II
CHK Chesapeake Energy Corporation
COG Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
CORN Teucrium Corn ETF
DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund
DGAZ Dniprogaz JSC
JO iPath Bloomberg Coffee SubTR ETN
SOYB Teucrium Commodity Trust
SWN Southwestern Energy Co.
UGAZ Credit Suisse VelocityShares 3X Long Natural Gas Exchange Traded Notes 2012- Linked to S&P GSCI Natu
UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation
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TWEETS

LATEST ACTIVITY

Jacob Meisel
RT Bryan_Schutt: EIA: #natgas power burn peaked at 39 Bcf one day last week, m...

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Jacob Meisel
Holy_Helicity Cornice_Trading Holy_Helicity Cornice_Trading jlhemmings Been hard for demand to really keep going above $3.1 which seems to kee… https://t.co/BDZxxO8H2n less
Jacob Meisel
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PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts

Work Experience

Chief Meteorologist and Market Analyst
Bespoke Weather Services
May 2015 - Present (2 years 3 months)

I serve as the Chief Meteorologist and co-founder of Bespoke Weather Services, working with Bespoke Investment Group. I compile research reports using the latest weather data to alert energy (primarily natural gas) traders of upcoming major weather events that will influence market patterns. I similarly speculate in the physical natural gas futures market off of this weather data

Chief Meteorologist and Founder
SWCT Weather
October 2008 - Present (8 years 11 months)

I serve as the Chief Meteorologist of SWCT Weather, accurately forecasting localized weather impacts for Southwestern Connecticut and adjacent New York for the past 7 years

Research Assistant
NAVSTAR Advisors
May 2014 - September 2014 (5 months)

Education

Harvard University
Bachelor’s Degree
2013 / 2017
Social Studies (North American Climate and Politics), 3.7.

Publications