Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services

I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market.  At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Memorial Day Weekend Heat Not Yet Enough For Nat Gas
June natural gas prices declined a bit over a percent on the day, though we noted prices diverging from weather as weather forecasts over the weekend actually trended hotter in the medium-term.
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Cooler Weather Pulls Nat Gas Off Resistance
Natural gas prices looked like they wanted to break higher, with the June contract testing the $2.87 resistance level before reversing into the settle off cooler afternoon weather models.
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Natural Gas Reverses Off In-Line EIA Print
After trading solidly lower much of the morning the June natural gas contract stabilized off an in-line EIA print and proceeded to rally through the rest of the day, closing up around a percent and a half at the top of the recent range.
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Slight Cooler Late May Trends Play Role In Natural Gas Reversal
The June natural gas contract continued lower today after its reversal yesterday, settling down a bit less than a percent on the day.
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Prepare For Triple Digit Natural Gas Injections
The June natural gas contract ground higher yet again today following a supportive EIA print last Thursday and continued warm forecasts for the second half of May.
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Natural Gas Goes Back To Sleep
It appears we cursed natural gas volatility, as after touting the largest daily range since February 21 yesterday we saw the smallest daily range of the year today.
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Comments

Latest Comments
Natural Gas Approaching Key Short-Term Support Level
1 year ago

Thank you! The case with #LNG is interesting as in the short-term it is not having too significant a demand impact (EIA estimates.5-.7 bcf/d), but longer-term could with further development and investment. Most analysis I conduct is focused on the near-term in the next few weeks/months of price action, but in what I have done as well it has become clear how comparatively cheap our gas is in comparison to other parts of the world.

In this article: UNG
Natural Gas Declines: Some Seasonality At Play
1 year ago

Thank you for your comment and kind words, Chetan! I began by studying meteorology and the impacts it has within the financial markets, and proceeded to home in on the natural gas market, a market known for swinging wildly due to changes in weather forecasts resulting in different energy demand expectations. To create analysis that was more useful to traders, I decided to pare weather analysis alongside other fundamental/technical analysis into a subscription product, so traders could subscribe and more easily determine when the weather or other fundamentals/technicals were driving price action. Since then, I've been researching other models/theories on price movement to combine alongside the meteorological analysis I conduct. I definitely enjoy posting to this site and plan to continue as regularly as I can.

1 to 2 of 2 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

BOIL ProShares Trust II
CHK Chesapeake Energy Corporation
COG Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
CORN Teucrium Corn ETF
DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund
DGAZ Dniprogaz JSC
JO iPath Bloomberg Coffee SubTR ETN
SOYB Teucrium Commodity Trust
SWN Southwestern Energy Co.
UGAZ Credit Suisse VelocityShares 3X Long Natural Gas Exchange Traded Notes 2012- Linked to S&P GSCI Natu
UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation
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LATEST ACTIVITY

Jacob Meisel
M8 #natgas settled at the exact same level back on 1/25. Here's how the curve has changed: more
Jacob Meisel
andrepaltry N565UA Either I'm not crazy or the three of us are crazy. Guess we'll find ou...

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Jacob Meisel
Cooler Weather Pulls Nat Gas Off Resistance $UNG https://t.co/yizy6lQP6F
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PERSONAL BLOG

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Work Experience

Chief Weather Analyst
Bespoke Weather Services
May 2015 - Present (3 years 1 month)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst and co-founder of Bespoke Weather Services, working with Bespoke Investment Group. I compile research reports using the latest weather data to alert energy (primarily natural gas) traders of upcoming major weather events that will influence market patterns. I similarly speculate in the physical natural gas futures market off of this weather data

Chief Weather Analyst and Founder
SWCT Weather
October 2008 - Present (9 years 9 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst of SWCT Weather, accurately forecasting localized weather impacts for Southwestern Connecticut and adjacent New York for the past 7 years

Research Assistant
NAVSTAR Advisors
May 2014 - September 2014 (5 months)

Education

Harvard University
Bachelor’s Degree
2013 / 2017
Social Studies (North American Climate and Politics), 3.7.

Publications