Co-Founder and Chief Analyst at Bespoke Weather Services
Contributor's Links: Bespoke Weather Services

I use the latest numerical weather model guidance and a wide array of fundamental and technical data sets to predict trends in the natural gas market.  At Bespoke Weather Services I compile the latest data into easy-to-read research reports issued ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Natural Gas Pinned With Spring-Like Trading Dominating
It may only be February 16th, but along the East Coast it already feels like spring, and the natural gas market is similarly already trading like it's spring.
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Bullish EIA Print Keeps Natural Gas Support Firm
Natural gas prices remained in their tight range, testing both the upper and lower bounds with overnight selling and then a spike off a bullish EIA print.
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Late February Cold Risks Help Stabilize Natural Gas
After significant selling, March natural gas prices were finally able to settle in the green for the second time in the last ten trading sessions, settling up a bit more than a percent and a half on the day.
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Winter Premium Fully Priced Out Of Natural Gas
March natural gas prices settled lower by a bit over a percent today on a day that felt far more like spring than winter trading.
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Even More Warm Trends Push Natural Gas Another Leg Lower
Warmer forecast trends through the week continually pressured the contract as traders looked for any type of floor for natural gas prices.
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Yet Again Natural Gas Ticks Lower
After rising overnight, natural gas prices declined through the day to settle just 5 ticks or .2% lower, trading within a narrow 7.7-cent range today.
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Comments

Latest Comments
Natural Gas Approaching Key Short-Term Support Level
1 year ago

Thank you! The case with #LNG is interesting as in the short-term it is not having too significant a demand impact (EIA estimates.5-.7 bcf/d), but longer-term could with further development and investment. Most analysis I conduct is focused on the near-term in the next few weeks/months of price action, but in what I have done as well it has become clear how comparatively cheap our gas is in comparison to other parts of the world.

In this article: UNG
Natural Gas Declines: Some Seasonality At Play
1 year ago

Thank you for your comment and kind words, Chetan! I began by studying meteorology and the impacts it has within the financial markets, and proceeded to home in on the natural gas market, a market known for swinging wildly due to changes in weather forecasts resulting in different energy demand expectations. To create analysis that was more useful to traders, I decided to pare weather analysis alongside other fundamental/technical analysis into a subscription product, so traders could subscribe and more easily determine when the weather or other fundamentals/technicals were driving price action. Since then, I've been researching other models/theories on price movement to combine alongside the meteorological analysis I conduct. I definitely enjoy posting to this site and plan to continue as regularly as I can.

1 to 2 of 2 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

BOIL ProShares Trust II
CHK Chesapeake Energy Corporation
COG Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation
CORN Teucrium Corn ETF
DBA PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund
DGAZ Dniprogaz JSC
JO iPath Bloomberg Coffee SubTR ETN
SOYB Teucrium Commodity Trust
SWN Southwestern Energy Co.
UGAZ Credit Suisse VelocityShares 3X Long Natural Gas Exchange Traded Notes 2012- Linked to S&P GSCI Natu
UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation
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Work Experience

Chief Weather Analyst
Bespoke Weather Services
May 2015 - Present (2 years 10 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst and co-founder of Bespoke Weather Services, working with Bespoke Investment Group. I compile research reports using the latest weather data to alert energy (primarily natural gas) traders of upcoming major weather events that will influence market patterns. I similarly speculate in the physical natural gas futures market off of this weather data

Chief Weather Analyst and Founder
SWCT Weather
October 2008 - Present (9 years 6 months)

I serve as the Chief Weather Analyst of SWCT Weather, accurately forecasting localized weather impacts for Southwestern Connecticut and adjacent New York for the past 7 years

Research Assistant
NAVSTAR Advisors
May 2014 - September 2014 (5 months)

Education

Harvard University
Bachelor’s Degree
2013 / 2017
Social Studies (North American Climate and Politics), 3.7.

Publications