President, Black Swan Capital, LLC
Contributor's Links: Black Swan Capital

Jack has over 25 years of experience in the currency, equity, and futures arena. He has held key positions in brokerage, investment research, money management, and trading.

Jack is founder and president of Black Swan Capital LLC (a newsletter firm specializing in currency trading and ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

USD/CAD Hourly: Critical Resistance Tested...
USD/CAD - Critical resistance at 1.2521, the Wave 1 low, was tested today.
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US Dollar: It Ain’t Over Till It’s Over
Despite the rising probability, along with increasing sentiment and real positioning, suggesting the US dollar cyclical bull market rally is over, the jury is still out.
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Short USD/CAD Here? Divergence With Oil
CAD and oil are usually tightly correlated.
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US Dollar Index - At Key Retracement Support Level... Bounce?
9100-level is a key Fibonacci (confluence) retracement level.
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Copper Leading The Australian Dollar?
Copper has moved above a key intermediate-term swing resistance level; Aussie has not.
Read
EUR/GBP Daily - Reversing?
The divergence from the 2-year EU-UK yield spread (favoring the UK).
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Comments

Latest Comments
US $ Smoked. Game Over? Is The Yen Telling?
8 months ago

I don't believe it is about financing deficits that drives the dollar. It is about real money flow (from domestic sources on said tax holiday, foreign direct investment, and hot money on yield differential). This can be self-feeding and would be very dollar positive despite deficits. As to trade war; the US wins a trade war against competitor given its local demand being so relatively strong. And the dollar likely rallies in a trade war on safe haven flow worldwide into US Treasuries. Thank you Moon Kil Woong.

In this article: FXE, FXY, UUP
Emerging Market Bonds: The Canary In The Coal Mine?
1 year ago

Gary. Great question. I do not know the answer but will see if I can find out. I suspect many of these bonds are for solid companies, so can't be considered junk just because designated EM. But much of the credit is to once solid companies, commodity-based, which are suffering cash flow problems. And I guess the larger point being much of this flow from international investors should be designated "hot money," instead of "foreign direct investment." Meaning if there is trouble, it will exist quickly. Thanks Gary. Regards, Jack

In this article: CNY, UUP, EEM
1 to 2 of 2 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

AA Alcoa Inc.
ABB ABB LTD.
ABT Abbott Laboratories
ACI Arch Coal Inc
ACTG Acacia Research Corporation
AEP American Electric Power Company Inc
AFL AFLAC Incorporated
AGNC American Capital Agency Corp.
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc.
ALB Albemarle Corporation
ALU Alcatel-Lucent
AMZN Amazon.com Inc.
ANR Alpha Natural Resources Inc.
APA Apache Corporation
APL Atlas Pipeline Partners L.P.
ARCC Ares Capital Corporation
ARNA Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
ARR Armour Residential REIT Inc.
BAC Bank of America Corporation
BAYRY Bayer Aktiengesellschaft
BBRY BlackBerry Ltd
BBT BB&T Corporation
BHP BHP Billiton Limited
BIDU Baidu, Inc.
BK Bank of New York Mellon Corp.
BP BP p.l.c.
C Citigroup Inc.
CAT Caterpillar Inc.
CBL CBL & Associates Properties Inc.
CEO CNOOC Limited
CERN Cerner Corporation
CF CF Industries Holdings Inc.
CHK Chesapeake Energy Corporation
CHL China Mobile Limited
CIG Companhia Energtica de Minas Gerais - CEMIG
CIM Chimera Investment Corporation
CMI Cummins Inc.
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation
CQP Cheniere Energy Partners, LP
CSCO Cisco Systems Inc.
CSX CSX Corporation
CTL CenturyLink Inc.
CVX Chevron Corporation
DE Deere & Company
DNDN Dendreon Corporation
DNR Denbury Resources Inc.
DUK Duke Energy Corporation
DVN Devon Energy Corporation
EIX Edison International
EMC EMC Corporation
EMR Emerson Electric Co.
EOG EOG Resources Inc.
EPD Enterprises Products Partners L.P
ETP Energy Transfer Partners L.P.
EXC Exelon Corporation
F Ford Motor Company
FCX Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc.
FFIV F5 Networks Inc.
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust
FSLR First Solar, Inc.
FTR Frontier Communications Corporation
FXE Euro Currency Trust
GE General Electric Company
GG Goldcorp Inc.
GIS General Mills Inc.
GLW Corning Inc.
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Google)
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
HAL Halliburton Company
HON Honeywell International Inc.
HTS Hatteras Financial Corp.
IBM International Business Machines Corporation
ISRG Intuitive Surgical Inc.
JNJ Johnson & Johnson
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co.
KMB Kimberly-Clark Corporation
KMP Kinder Morgan Energy Partners L.P
KO The Coca-Cola Company
KOG Kodiak Oil & Gas Corp
KOL Market Vectors Coal ETF
LEG Leggett & Platt Inc.
LINE Linn Energy, LLC
LMT Lockheed Martin
LO Lorillard Inc.
MBT Mobile TeleSystems
MCD McDonald's Corporation
MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. Stock Quote & Summary Data
MFA MFA Financial Inc.
MMM 3M Company
MMP Magellan Midstream Partners L.P.
MO Altria Group Inc.
MOS Mosaic Company The
MRK Merck & Co Inc.
MRO Marathon Oil Corporation
MS Morgan Stanley
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
MT ArcelorMittal
MWE MarkWest Energy Partners L.P.
NBL Noble Energy Inc.
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc.
NOK Nokia Corporation
NUE Nucor Corporation
PAA Plains All American Pipeline L.P.
PBI Pitney Bowes Inc.
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.
PCLN Priceline Group Inc.
PFE Pfizer Inc.
PG Procter & Gamble Co.
PM Philip Morris International Inc.
PNC PNC Financial Services GroupThe
POT Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.
PSEC Prospect Capital Corporation
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated
RGLD Royal Gold Inc.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation
SCCO Southern Copper Corporation
SDRL Seadrill Limited
SHW Sherwin Williams Co.
SID Companhia Siderrgica Nacional
SINA Sina Corporation
SIRI Sirius XM Radio Inc.
SLB Schlumberger Limited
SLV iShares Silver Trust
SLW Silver Wheaton Corp.
SO Southern Company
SOHU Sohu.com Inc.
SQM Sociedad Qumica y Minera de Chile S.A.
STO Statoil ASA
SU Suncor Energy Inc.
TBT ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury ETF
TEF Telefonica S.A.
TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited
TM Toyota Motor Corporation
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd
TOT TOTAL S.A.
UTX United Technologies Corporation
V Visa Inc.
VALE Vale S.A.
VAR Varian Medical Systems Inc.
VVUS Vivus, Inc.
WFC Wells Fargo & Co.
WMB Williams Companies Inc
WPRT Westport Innovations Inc
WR Westar Energy Inc.
X United States Steel Corporation
XOM Exxon Mobil Corporation
YUM YUM! Brands Inc.
YZC Yanzhou Coal Mining Co. Ltd.
ZNGA Zynga Inc.
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Jack Crooks Commented on US $ Smoked. Game Over? Is The Yen Telling?:

I don't believe it is about financing deficits that drives the dollar. It is about real money flow (from domestic sources on said tax holiday, foreign direct investment, and hot money on yield differenti...

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President and Chief Trading Officer
Black Swan Capital
2002 - Present (16 years 1 month)

Jack Crooks has over 25 years experience in the currency, equity and futures arena. He has held key positions in brokerage, money management, trading and research. Jack is founder and president of Black Swan Capital LLC and Black Swan Capital Management. Prior to
entering the investment arena, Jack worked in various corporate finance positions. He has written extensively on the subject of global currencies and international economics.

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