Financial Markets Analyst
Contributor's Links: AllocateWisely

Hallsteinn has over 20 years of experience with the world financial markets. He worked as an analyst covering equity, currency, commodity and fixed income cash and futures markets, using fundamental, technical and quantitative analysis. Today he focuses on the US stock ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

E US 10-Year Treasury Yield Finally Above The 3% Level
Treasury yields likely in a bottoming process.
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Selling Pressure Likely To Continue In The US Stock Market
We had a big plunge or selloff in the US stock market yesterday. The S&P 500 index closed below the 2.800 level, and below Feb-March-June highs and July-August lows. It is difficult to see the next possible support area.
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E Housing Stock Indexes Continue To Fall
Two housing stock indexes in bear market territory.
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E Extremes In Performance Of US Housing Stocks Worrying
US housing indexes are down 10-21% and the Home Construction Index is in a bear market territory.
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E The Financial Sector Is At Significant Conjunction
Financial stocks have topped out before the broad market while energy stocks show best relative performance at the end of a cyclical bull market. So their leadership role is very important.
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VL Geometric Index Testing Prior Breakout Point
The Value Line Geometric Index has retreated a bit after breaking above 585 and then above 590, taking out the January highs.
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Comments

Latest Comments
Commodities And Rates Attempting Breakouts At The Same Time
14 days ago

Hi Chris, I enjoy reading your chart analysis. The analysis is usually clear and the charts clean (no indies etc.). I have seen you use log scale charts but it looks like you are using a linear scale on the two charts above and on the US dollar index chart you posted on seeitmarket.com (pls correct me if I am wrong). As you know, on long term charts diagonal/sloping trend lines look different on a log scale than on a linear scale. Rgds, Halli.

In this article: DBC
Market Outlook Sees Treasury Yields Continuing To Trend Higher
20 days ago

Good analysis. One pointer. I think the chart where you show both the 2y and the 10y yields should have the same scale, whether shown on one or two axes.

In this article: TNX
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Hallsteinn Arnarson Commented on Commodities And Rates Attempting Breakouts At The Same Time:

Hi Chris, I enjoy reading your chart analysis. The analysis is usually clear and the charts clean (no indies etc.). I have seen you use log scale charts but it looks like you are using a linear scale on t...

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Hallsteinn Arnarson Commented on Market Outlook Sees Treasury Yields Continuing To Trend Higher:

Good analysis. One pointer. I think the chart where you show both the 2y and the 10y yields should have the same scale, whether shown on one or two axes.

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Work Experience

Expert / Specialist: Macro-Prudential Supervisory, Oversight
The Financial Supervisory Authority, Iceland
September 2017 - Present (1 year 2 months)
Economic and Financial Markets Analyst
Landsbankinn, Economic Department
May 2017 - September 2017 (5 months)

Analyzed and wrote reports on the US and global stock markets, the domestic and foreign FX market, and on the importance of airlift supply factors on travel and tourism in Iceland.

Expert - Financial Markets Analyst, Treasury & Risk Management Advisor / Consultant, FX Execution
IFS Ráðgjöf / IFS Consulting
November 2007 - December 2016 (9 years 3 months)
Sparisjóðabanki Íslands / Icebank
Specialist - Treasury: Dealing Room, Foreign Exchange and Money Market Desk
2005 - 2007 (2 years 10 months)

Education

California State University, Stanislaus
Bachelor's degree
1998 / 2000
Field Of Study Double Major: International Economics & International Politics, and Philosophy Grade Graduated with honor (cum laude) Activities and Societies: Played soccer for the college team and named All American ...

Publications

Allocate Wisely
Hallsteinn Arnarson
Bachelor's degree

Here I provide clear and actionable chart analysis for the US stock market. I also write about my US Equity Sector, Style and Factor or Smart Beta Based investment portfolios. I design and actively manage the portfolios based on proprietary methods. The portfolios are primarily made up of U.S. listed exchange traded funds (ETFs).