Gary Savage Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Author and Publisher of Smart Money Tracker Blog
Contributor's Links: Smart Money Tracker

I’ve been analyzing markets since 2001. My particular field expertise is the metals market but I also cover the stock market, energy, the dollar, and euro again building my trading models around cycles analysis and sentiment. I’m an avid rockclimber. And national and world champion ... more

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The Perma Bears Are At It Again
The biggest gains come at the very beginning of a bull market (the baby bull), and at the very end of a bull market, once everyone finally becomes convinced the bull is for real.
The Sky Is Falling
For nine years now every time we have an intermediate degree correction the permabears crawl out of the woodwork and start screaming the sky is falling.
Miners On The Rise As Promised
Basically everything I’ve predicted is playing out exactly as I said, from the semi-crash in stocks to the recovery in metals. The only call that still remains to play out is whether I'll be correct that the dollar began a bear market in early 2017.
Inflation Is Starting To Heat Up
For years now analysts and the media have been trying to convince people there is no inflation despite central banks' massive quantitative easing programs. Of course this is ridiculous. They just choose to ignore where the inflation has manifested.
Gold: New Bull Or Same Old Bear?
There are two schools of thought right now, and both sides are convinced they are correct. The bullish case: Gold started a new cyclical bull market in late 2015. The bearish case: The bounce off the 2015 bottom, a counter trend bear market rally.
This Is What Gold Would Look Like If We Could Kill The Gold Cartel
The miners have completed a weekly swing and even though they are going to paint the charts for OEX I do think the miners have bottomed.
Dangerous Times
Dumb money always assumes a trend will continue indefinitely. But now isn’t the best time to keep chasing the stock market.
Failed Breakout?
This chart speaks for itself.
GDX Coil
During the formation of a coil, the market builds more and more energy as the price gets trapped in a narrow range.
Not Looking Good So Far
This was the spot where the dollar should bounce for a day or two. So far it’s looking very weak with no sign of a bounce.
Interest Rate Misconceptions
Contrary to what many people think the Fed doesn’t set interest rates. The short term market sets interest rates. The Fed follows what the market tells them.
Another 1.8 Billion
Something really big is brewing.
No Discipline
Find a system you can work with. Back test it to see if it produces gains over time. If it does then stick with it, and don’t give up just because it occasionally produces losses. All systems do.
Bottom On Friday?
Gold completed an undercut on Friday. Everyone is bearish as it should be at a major bottom. I think there’s a strong possibility the bottom occurred on Friday, and if not, it is going to occur sometime this week.
Currencies & Gold Charts
The dollar has failed multiple times to recover the declining 100 week moving average. The euro is holding above the rising 100 week moving average. Gold continues to find support at the 200 week moving average.
The Fundamentals Of A Bull Market
For nine years now we’ve listened to the perma-bears try to call one top after another. How many crashes have been predicted over the last nine years? At least a dozen. How many actual crashes have occurred? I would argue maybe one.
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