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DailyFX, the free news and research website of leading forex and CFD broker FXCM, delivers up-to-date analysis of the fundamental and technical influences driving the currency and commodity markets. With nine internationally-based ... more


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GBP/USD In Focus As Brexit Grabs Attention; USD Pullback Continues
Sterling initially popped-higher as news that negotiators had come to a resolution. But, as the draft of that deal leaked, optimism faded and prices soon moved back down to the 1.2900-handle.
Crude Oil Weekly Technical Outlook – WTI Plunges To Fresh Yearly Lows
Oil prices have continued to plummet with crude attempting its sixth consecutive weekly decline into a critical support confluence at the yearly lows.
NZD/USD Correction Still In Play Amid Hope For U.S.-China Trade Deal
NZD/USD pares the decline following the Federal Reserve meeting amid renewed hopes for a U.S.-China trade deal.
Dissecting The Crash In Crude Oil That Brought A Sudden Bear Market
While energy markets were moving higher under potential supply shocks, a domino of events in global macro markets shifted the conversation to too much supply relative to possibly shrinking demand.
USD/JPY Initiates Lower Highs & Lows Ahead Of Fresh Fed Rhetoric
USD/JPY initiates a series of lower highs & lows after failing to test the 2018-high (114.55), but fresh comments from Federal Reserve officials may keep the dollar-yen exchange rate afloat.
USD Rally Pauses As EUR, GBP Gain On Italian Budget, Brexit Hopes
The US Dollar (via the DXY Index) is taking a breather on Tuesday after hitting fresh 2018 highs at the start of the week.
Gold Price Outlook Mired By Lower Highs & Lows, Bearish RSI Signal
Gold remains under pressure following the U.S. mid-term election, with the price for bullion slipping to a fresh monthly-low ($1204).
AUD/USD Carves Bearish Sequence Following Failed Run At September-High
AUD/USD appears to be responding to trendline resistance amid the failed attempt to test the September-high (0.7315), with the recent series of lower highs & lows raising the risk for further losses.
NZD/USD Weekly Technical Outlook– Kiwi Eyes Yearly Slope Resistance
Kiwi is testing weekly resistance at 6811/54 and the risk for near-term exhaustion remains while below this level.
FX Week Ahead: Q3’18 Japanese GDP, October UK & US CPI, Aussie Jobs
If there was any sense that the Bank of Japan may try to unwind its QE program, that Q3’18 Japanese GDP release should squash those hopes entirely. Due in at -0.9% annualized, Japanese GDP is due to turn negative for the first time since Q4’15.
Weekly Fundamental Forecast: As Political And Rate Decision Risks Ebb, Will Sentiment And Trade Wars Take Over?
The US mid-term elections and FOMC rate decision were noteworthy distractions, but weren't true course settings for the markets. The docket thins out next week, but open-ended themes from trade wars to Brexit to Italy’s budget can wrest back focus.
Oil Price Enters Bear Market Even As U.S. Crude Output Hits Record High
Oil enters a bear market as OPEC shifts gears to a ‘produce as much you can mode,’ and the current environment is likely to keep crude prices under pressure as the bearish momentum appears to be gathering pace.
S&P 500 Will Look To Trade Wars, FTSE To Brexit, DAX To GDP Data
After a volatile week the S&P 500 closed Friday on a sour note, down roughly 1.00%. Still, US equities enjoyed a small rebound from October’s rout this week as they staged the largest post-election rally since 1982 on Wednesday.
US Dollar Rebound May Continue On CPI, European Politics
US midterm elections delivered as expected last week, producing a divided Congress as the Democrats reclaimed control of the House of Representatives and sending the Dollar higher.
Australian Dollar Can Hold Up As Long As Risk Appetite Does Too
The Australian Dollar has completely lacked interest-rate support against its big US brother for most of this year. The US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates three times and is expected to do so again in December.
Corporate Debt Demand Spikes To Four-Month High Amid US Elections
The high-flying NASDAQ was the laggard of the US indices, only marginally higher at +0.68% versus +2.13% and +2.84% for the S&P 500 and Dow respectively. One particularly active area this week was high yield corporate debt.
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