Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!

Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ... more


Now Is Not The Time For M&A
Sales are up, profits are up, cash is up. Times are so good that companies are tempted to acquire other companies. And this is the wrong time for that.
Why Borrowers Need Securitization
When you borrow money to buy a home, your loan is almost always “securitized.” Pope Francis recently railed against complex financial securities.
Business Planning With Austrian Economics: What Line Of Business Are You In?
Austrian-school economists were frustrated when other economists assumed a given product or market. Nothing is given.
Signs Of The Next Recession
Economists did not predict the 2008-09 recession, nor the recessions of 2001, 1990, or 1982. However, we did anticipate the 1980 recession—which we thought would be mild. Oops.
Housing Is Not In Short Supply
Home prices across the country have increased by 6.3 percent in the past year, compared to a long-run average of 4.6 percent. Rents increased by a lesser 3.6 percent, but compare that to overall inflation of just 2.4 percent.
The Scariest Chart For Business In The Coming Decade: Workers Not Available
The biggest factor behind slow growth of the working-age population is the aging of baby boomers. Keep in mind that the baby boom continued for many years, peaking in 1957 and continuing until about 1964.


AIG American International Group Inc
BAC Bank of America Corporation
CAT Caterpillar Inc.
EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund
GM General Motors Company
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
NKE Nike Inc.
PG Procter & Gamble Co.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation
TWX Time Warner Inc.
VLO Valero Energy Corporation
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Latest Posts

Work Experience

December 2011 - Present (6 years 8 months)
Conerly Consulting LLC
April 1996 - Present (22 years 6 months)
Strategic planning and the external business environment.
Cascade Policy Institute
Chairman of the Board
1995 - Present (23 years 10 months)
Senior Vice President & Economist
First Interstate Bank
September 1987 - March 1996 (8 years 8 months)
Senior economist and manager of economics department covering five-state region.
Director of Economic Research
July 1984 - June 1987 (3 years)


Duke University
1974 / 1980
New College
1971 / 1974


Businomics Blog
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics blog helps business leaders make more profitable decisions through a better understanding of the economy. Although it occasionally delves into public policy or investments, it's mostly focused on actionable information. When the business cycle turns, the Businomics blog helps business leaders understand how their daily challenges will turn. When new corporate strategy fads emerge, the Businomics blog uses hard-headed economic analysis to determine which parts of the new fad make sense, and which should be ignored.
Businomics: From The Headlines To Your Bottomline
William B. Conerly, Ph.D
William Conerly
Business leaders know that the economy affects their sales, costs and profits. But they often fail to translate economic news into action steps that will protect and grow their profits. The solution is Businomics™: From the Headlines to Your Bottom Line: How to Profit in Any Economic Cycle, which connects the dots between the economic news and business decisions. How vulnerable is your business to recession? Businomics™ explains why some sectors are highly susceptible to downturns, while others are fairly stable—and they are not always the sectors you expect! You may have studied macroeconomics in college, but the course was almost certainly mathematical and focused on policy. Businomics™ attacks the subject from the perspective of a business leader: what you must know to anticipate, prepare for and react to downturns in the economy. The book provides a step-by-step guide to developing an early warning system tailored specifically to your company.
Businomics Free Monthly Newsletter
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics(TM) Newsletter keeps you up to date in a simple graphical format. We'll email you two or three pages of charts once a month, with Bill's comments. Skim the newsletter for two minutes and you're up to date. View a sample and then sign up.