Connecting The Dots Between The Economy... And Business!

Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. As a consultant, he not only forecasts the economy but also helps business leaders understand how their challenges will change with the evolving economy. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and was ... more

ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Why Are Oil Prices Dropping Sharply? Global Economy Forecast Softer
Oil prices jumped in September and early October of this year (2018), but have dropped $20 a barrel in the last few weeks. The sharp turnaround is attributed to OPEC’s inability to cut supply, but this is old-fashioned thinking.
Read
Post-Election Economic Forecast: Political Gridlock Will Be Good For Business
The economy will do well with government control divided between Democrats and Republicans.
Read
Housing Forecast: Not A Bubble In 2019
We are not in a housing bubble. The tool that helped me identify the last bubble—measuring new construction relative to population growth—helps me now say we are not overbuilding.
Read
Buffered Return Enhanced Notes: Bad Investment Choice That Sounds Good
A pitch from a financial advisor seemed too good to be true: an investment that enhanced returns when the stock market was up, and also protected against downside risk. Too good to be true? Well, let’s just say the truth is uglier than the image.
Read
Innovation Benefits Beyond The Filthy Rich
Business is a source of inequality—but in a good way—when innovators bring great progress in improved products and lower cost, even when they keep a portion of the gains for themselves.
Read
Will The Economy Crash In 2019?
Don’t expect the economy to crash in 2019, but be prepared for a possible recession.
Read

STOCKS I FOLLOW

AIG American International Group Inc
BAC Bank of America Corporation
CAT Caterpillar Inc.
EWJ iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund
GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
GM General Motors Company
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
NKE Nike Inc.
PG Procter & Gamble Co.
SBUX Starbucks Corporation
TWX Time Warner Inc.
VLO Valero Energy Corporation
Load More

TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts

Work Experience

Contributor
Forbes
December 2011 - Present (7 years 1 month)
Consultant
Conerly Consulting LLC
April 1996 - Present (22 years 11 months)
Strategic planning and the external business environment.
Cascade Policy Institute
Chairman of the Board
1995 - Present (24 years 3 months)
Senior Vice President & Economist
First Interstate Bank
September 1987 - March 1996 (8 years 8 months)
Senior economist and manager of economics department covering five-state region.
Director of Economic Research
NERCO, Inc.
July 1984 - June 1987 (3 years)

Education

Duke University
Ph.D.,
1974 / 1980
Economics
New College
B.A.
1971 / 1974
Economics

Publications

Businomics Blog
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics blog helps business leaders make more profitable decisions through a better understanding of the economy. Although it occasionally delves into public policy or investments, it's mostly focused on actionable information. When the business cycle turns, the Businomics blog helps business leaders understand how their daily challenges will turn. When new corporate strategy fads emerge, the Businomics blog uses hard-headed economic analysis to determine which parts of the new fad make sense, and which should be ignored.
Businomics: From The Headlines To Your Bottomline
William B. Conerly, Ph.D
William Conerly
Business leaders know that the economy affects their sales, costs and profits. But they often fail to translate economic news into action steps that will protect and grow their profits. The solution is Businomics™: From the Headlines to Your Bottom Line: How to Profit in Any Economic Cycle, which connects the dots between the economic news and business decisions. How vulnerable is your business to recession? Businomics™ explains why some sectors are highly susceptible to downturns, while others are fairly stable—and they are not always the sectors you expect! You may have studied macroeconomics in college, but the course was almost certainly mathematical and focused on policy. Businomics™ attacks the subject from the perspective of a business leader: what you must know to anticipate, prepare for and react to downturns in the economy. The book provides a step-by-step guide to developing an early warning system tailored specifically to your company.
Businomics Free Monthly Newsletter
Bill Conerly
Bill Conerly
The Businomics(TM) Newsletter keeps you up to date in a simple graphical format. We'll email you two or three pages of charts once a month, with Bill's comments. Skim the newsletter for two minutes and you're up to date. View a sample and then sign up.