President & CIO at Merk Investments

Axel Merk is the President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments, manager of the Merk Funds.

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ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

U.S. Business Cycle For December 2018
Most indicators are still positive, with the exception of some longer-term indicators that look negative- suggesting that we are in the late part of the cycle.
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FV U.S. Equity Market Review - Wednesday, Nov. 14
Some measures of market breadth are not far from levels that are historically consistent with major market tops.
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The Federal Reserve: Chart Book
Four rate hikes this year (three already done) and three rate hikes next year, would bring the federal funds rate to 3.25%. That is the rate path suggested by the median Fed estimates on the Summary of Economic Projections Dot Plot from September.
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FV U.S. Business Cycle For November 2018
Recession risk over roughly the 1-5 year period has likely increased with measures suggesting the economy is potentially operating above capacity, namely the output gap and labor force capacity utilization.
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FV The U.S. Equity Market
The business cycle backdrop and financial conditions still look very positive for the US equity market, however, some measures of market breadth are showing weakness and are not far from levels that are historically consistent with major market tops.
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The Business Cycle For October 2018
At elevated levels consumer confidence measures can act as a contrarian indicator.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

ADRE BLDRS Emerging Markets 50 ADR Index Fund
AGG iShares Trust - iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
CYB WisdomTree Dreyfus Chinese Yuan Fund
DBEM DBX ETF Trust
DBV PowerShares DB G10 Currency Harvest Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average
EDC Emerging Markets Bull 3x Shares
EMF Templeton Emerging Markets Fund (Delaware)
EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund
FXE Euro Currency Trust
FXY CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
GOVT iSh Brc US TrBd Shs
IAU iShares COMEX Gold Trust
JGBD Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch
JGBL PowerShares DB Japanese Govt Bd Futs ETN
JGBS Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch
PLW PowerShares 1-30 Laddered Treasury Portfolio
SH ProShares Short S&P500
SPY SPDR S&P 500
TPS 10 Stocks BRIDGES
TRSY PIMCO Broad U.S. Treasury Index Fund
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
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TWEETS

PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts

Work Experience

President and CIO
Merk Investments
September 1994 - Present (24 years 8 months)

Education

Brown University
Computer Science (M.Sc.)

Publications

Sustainable Wealth: Achieve Financial Security in a Volatile World of Debt and Consumption
Axel Merk
Wiley
10/26/2009

A personal finance guide for today's turbulent world. Sustainable Wealth empowers you to achieve your financial goals by unleashing the shackles of debt, no matter how uncertain the future may be. Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, this reliable resource illustrates how you can predict economic booms and busts before they happen, adapt to changing markets and plan for lasting financial stability.

Merk Investmente Newsletter
Axel Merk
Merk Investments

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Merk Insights Blog
Axel Merk
Merk Investments

Merk’s insight and expertise have allowed him to foresee major economic developments: As early as 2003, he identified the building of the credit bubble; in 2005, he positioned his clients to move out of real estate and the faltering U.S. dollar by investing in hard currencies and gold; in early 2007 he

wisely cautioned that volatility would surge, causing a painful credit contraction affecting all asset classes.

Read the latest Merk Insights providing the Merk perspective on currencies, global imbalances, the trade deficit, the socio-economic impact of the U.S. administration’s policies and effects on your wealth.

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