Arthur Donner | TalkMarkets | Page 1

Arthur Donner

Economic Consultant
Arthur Donner is a Toronto-based economic consultant with a lively interest and involvement in economic policy issues. Arthur has the ability to make complicated economic issues understandable to widely different audiences. Consequently, his career has moved between universities, governments and ...more
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Is The US In Dangerous Territory Or In For A Soft Landing?
Sunday, January 29, 2023 6:34 PM EDT
Given the many signs of consumer and investment spending weakness just ahead, the Fed is clearly in a very difficult position if it raises interest rates further and/or keeps the current level of interest rates too high for too long.
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US Inflation Is Easing - But How Fast?
Sunday, December 25, 2022 5:46 AM EDT
Over the past year stubbornly high inflation has been a major bugaboo for the consuming public, policymakers and of course for investors.
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Canada’s Tight Job Market Is Starting To Weaken
Wednesday, December 7, 2022 9:13 PM EDT
Even with a major step up in immigration, Canada faces serious, longer-term labor shortages.
In this article: EWC
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Interest Rates And Central Banks
Monday, November 28, 2022 10:30 AM EDT
As interest rates rise and central bank balance sheets shrink, the possibility of a global financial crisis has increased.
In this article: EEM, IEF
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The IMF’s Latest Bleak Projections For The Global Economy Are Too Optimistic
Friday, October 28, 2022 4:08 AM EDT
The US economy expanded 5.7% in its rebound year 2021 and is projected (on the pessimistic side) to grow only 1.6% this year and only 0.9% in 2023.
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U.S. Inflation Over The Next 5 Years
Thursday, October 27, 2022 3:30 PM EDT
U.S. inflation is gradually easing and bond investors are expecting a return to normal interest rates five years from now.
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Canada Will Not Be Able To Avoid The Coming Global Downturn
Wednesday, September 21, 2022 1:55 PM EDT
Recent Canadian GDP data indicates that the economy expanded at a healthy 3.3% annual rate in the second quarter of 2022 following a 3.1% expansion in the previous quarter.
In this article: EWC
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US Inflation May Have Peaked, But What About The Lasting Effects?
Monday, September 19, 2022 10:54 AM EDT
US inflation peaked, but the lasting effects from high inflation are painful and are rocking equity markets.
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The Financial Markets Are Signaling Either A Slowdown Or A US Recession
Friday, September 16, 2022 10:37 PM EDT
The financial markets are signaling almost exactly what the IMF and the National Bank projections seem to imply, i.e. slower US growth, and /or even a US recession is just ahead. 
In this article: IEF
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There Is No Doubt That We Are On The Verge Of A Global Recession
Friday, September 16, 2022 11:15 AM EDT
You don’t have to be an economic soothsayer to recognize that we are on the precipice of a global economic downturn.
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The Key To Our Inflation Problem Is Reducing Inflationary Expectations
Saturday, December 11, 2021 9:06 AM EDT
The acceleration of inflation in North America during the economic recovery from the pandemic has created a set of difficult challenges for monetary policy.
In this article: BND, IEF, IEI, TIP
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The World's Speedy Recovery From The Pandemic
Friday, December 10, 2021 7:52 AM EDT
The world’s speedy recovery from the pandemic recession strongly differs from the slow recovery following the 2008 financial crash.
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Canada’s Labor Force Participation Rate Has Been Shrinking For Quite A While
Thursday, December 9, 2021 10:36 AM EDT
The labor shortage has been particularly hard on smaller businesses that have borne the brunt of the pandemic. Smaller firms experienced a series of shutdowns and faced serious financial challenges.
In this article: EWC
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Canadian Employment In November 2021
Tuesday, December 7, 2021 11:47 AM EDT
The Canadian job market recovery seems somewhat stronger than the American. But both countries are struggling with labour shortages and weak real wages.
In this article: EWC
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US Jobs Gains Underwhelm; Job Shortages, Declining Real Wages Are Problems
Sunday, December 5, 2021 8:54 PM EDT
Don’t let pundits tell you that a healthy job market is just around the corner. We still have a long way to go.
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The Latest Spike In US Inflation Is Frightening
Thursday, November 25, 2021 2:01 PM EDT
Over the past twelve months, the US consumer price index (CPI) rose 6.2%, which was the fastest twelve-month increase in over thirty years. 
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