Economic Consultant

Arthur Donner is a Toronto-based economic consultant with a lively interest and involvement in economic policy issues. Arthur has the ability to make complicated economic issues understandable to widely different audiences. Consequently, his career has moved between universities, governments and ... more

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E Britain’s Economy Is Decelerating Because Of Brexit
Britain’s vote to leave the EU is clearly damaging the UK economy even though there has been a strong recovery in the world economy.
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E Japan’s Economy Has Plateaued In Terms Of Growth And Inflation
Japan’s economy grew 1.1% yoy in the first quarter of 2018. Real wages are declining and fiscal problems are still an issue.
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E Large Firms Account For A Growing Share Of The American Job Market
Large firms, which have a greater ability to utilize modern technologies, seem able to attract disproportionately more high technology workers than small firms.
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E China Will Be Hurt In The Trade War
Even though its economy is somewhat less dependent on the U.S. than it was 10 years ago, don't think a trade war won't have impact.
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E Canadian Inflation Hit A Six Year High In June
Canada’s CPI index rose 2,5% on a year over year basis in June, following a 2.2% increase in May.
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E Canadian Housing Starts Increased Sharply In June
Canada’s housing starts recovered sharply in June, advancing at a hefty 248.1 thousand units from 193.9 thousand units in May.
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Canada Had A Jobs Rebound In June, But Short-Term Outlook Less Encouraging
18 days ago

thanks for your comment. where are you located?

U.S. Housing Starts Have Rebounded, But Tariffs Are A Deterrent To New Construction
20 days ago

Your comment is interesting. A sudden halt of Chinese investments in real estate around the world would have a negative impact in the US, even a bigger negative for Canada. But, don't under estimate the importance of tarif induced costs on housing construction.

The Euro Area’s Economy Has Been Re-Energized
3 months ago

The political and economic risks are real.

Brexit and the impact on euro mkt, Trump and his antics, worries about foreign trade barriers, the swing to the right in some countries, and concerns over when the ECB starts to withdraw monetary support. My own sense is that the euro will hold together.

The Euro Area’s Economy Has Been Re-Energized
3 months ago

YIkes. This is a hard question to answer.

From my experience, strong economic growth is rarely a good predictor for the market. To use an economist cop out, strong growth is likely a necessary condition, but not on its own a sufficient condition for strong equity markets.

Canada’s Employment Surge Continued Into March
3 months ago

Sorry for tardy response. A weak Cdn currency, currently close to 75 cents US, the very strong US economy, and the revival of commodity prices, particularly oil.

The Trump Republicans Have Completely Abandoned Fiscal Responsibility
4 months ago

those are many interesting ideas for saving money. However, my priorities would be different.

The tax cuts were very unbalanced, favoring the wealthy. I think that this is wrong, even though the American public seems almost unaware of this.

A Strong Currency Has Lowered Inflation In The Euro Area
10 months ago

I agree. Of course, China is selling consumer goods all over the world, and in this way, is lowering prices (and inflation) virtually everywhere.

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Arthur Donner Commented on Canada Had A Jobs Rebound In June, But Short-Term Outlook Less Encouraging:

thanks for your comment. where are you located?

Arthur Donner Commented on U.S. Housing Starts Have Rebounded, But Tariffs Are A Deterrent To New Construction:

Your comment is interesting. A sudden halt of Chinese investments in real estate around the world would have a negative impact in the US, even a bigger negative for Canada. But, don't under estimate the i...

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