Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ... more

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Is The Canary In The Gold Mine Coming To Life Again?
While we cannot be sure why investors have suddenly become enamored with the precious metals sector, it is probably a good guess that gold stocks are by now so cheap that they are considered a worthwhile target for rotation purposes.
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Bad Hair Days Are Back – Is The Stock Market Oversold Enough?
The fact that the RUT had a very weak close on Friday – closing almost unchanged despite a 2.77% rebound in the NDX – counts as a negative sign for the market.
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Are Credit Spreads Still A Leading Indicator For The Stock Market?
Seemingly out of the blue, equities suffered a few bad hair days recently. One should expect corrections in the form of mini-crashes to strike with very little advance warning, due to issues related to market structure and the post-“QE” environment.
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Fed Credit And The US Money Supply – The Liquidity Drain Accelerates
All over the world the monetary backdrop continues to become less accommodative, which is bad news for “risk assets” such as stocks and corporate bonds.
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How Dangerous Is The Month Of October?
The memories of sharp slumps that happened in this month in the past – often wiping out the profits of an entire year in a single day – are apt to induce fear. However, if one disregards outliers, October generally delivers an acceptable performance.
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In Gold We Trust – Incrementum Chart Book 2018
For the moment there is still pressure on gold from a fundamental perspective, as the most important macroeconomic price drivers remain bearish.
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