Independent Analyst
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Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and economist/social theorist. He has been involved with financial markets in various capacities for 31 years and currently writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy as well as being ... more


Is The Canary In The Gold Mine Coming To Life Again?
While we cannot be sure why investors have suddenly become enamored with the precious metals sector, it is probably a good guess that gold stocks are by now so cheap that they are considered a worthwhile target for rotation purposes.
Bad Hair Days Are Back – Is The Stock Market Oversold Enough?
The fact that the RUT had a very weak close on Friday – closing almost unchanged despite a 2.77% rebound in the NDX – counts as a negative sign for the market.
Are Credit Spreads Still A Leading Indicator For The Stock Market?
Seemingly out of the blue, equities suffered a few bad hair days recently. One should expect corrections in the form of mini-crashes to strike with very little advance warning, due to issues related to market structure and the post-“QE” environment.
Fed Credit And The US Money Supply – The Liquidity Drain Accelerates
All over the world the monetary backdrop continues to become less accommodative, which is bad news for “risk assets” such as stocks and corporate bonds.
How Dangerous Is The Month Of October?
The memories of sharp slumps that happened in this month in the past – often wiping out the profits of an entire year in a single day – are apt to induce fear. However, if one disregards outliers, October generally delivers an acceptable performance.
In Gold We Trust – Incrementum Chart Book 2018
For the moment there is still pressure on gold from a fundamental perspective, as the most important macroeconomic price drivers remain bearish.


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