US Session Bullet Report

The ECB press conference currently going on now has sent the EURO into a tailspin as President Mario Draghi announced that forecasts for inflation and GDP have been revised down for the Eurozone.

GDP growth forecasts for 2015 were revised to 1.4% versus 1.5% previously. The dissapointing announcement has added to recent woes over the global slowdown. As a result the EUR was immediately sold off plunging more than 100 points against the USD and JPY and continues to fall at time of writing.

President Draghi also cited the drop in Oil price as a means to support incomes and corporate profits.

Earlier, the ECB kept its base rate unchanged at 0.05% although Draghi indicated the ECB is prepared to use all instruments available if needed, perhaps paving the way for a further rate cut or an increase in its bond purchasing program.

Slightly earlier we had higher than expected jobless claims from US so all is not as rosy as once seemed and tomorrows NFP will most definately set the direction for next week.

Trading Quote of the Day:

Your ability to stick to the strategy is more important than the strategy itself

EURUSD
Pivot: 1.126
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.126 with targets @ 1.12 & 1.1155 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.126 look for further upside with 1.129 & 1.132 as targets.
Comment: The pair has broken below a rising trend line and remains on the downside.

GBPUSD

Pivot: 1.534
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1.534 with targets @ 1.521 & 1.5165 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.534 look for further upside with 1.538 & 1.5445 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bearish.

AUDUSD

Pivot: 0.7065
Likely scenario: Short positions below 0.7065 with targets @ 0.698 & 0.695 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.7065 look for further upside with 0.7095 & 0.712 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is badly directed.

USDJPY

Pivot: 119.9
Likely scenario: Long positions above 119.9 with targets @ 120.7 & 121.05 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 119.9 look for further downside with 119.5 & 119.2 as targets.
Comment: The RSI lacks downward momentum.

USDCAD

Pivot: 1.3195
Likely scenario: Long positions above 1.3195 with targets @ 1.3325 & 1.335 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.3195 look for further downside with 1.3155 & 1.311 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

USDCHF

Pivot: 0.9635
Likely scenario: Long positions above 0.9635 with targets @ 0.973 & 0.9775 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.9635 look for further downside with 0.9565 & 0.9505 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed to bullish.

GOLD

Pivot: 1135
Likely scenario: Short positions below 1135 with targets @ 1125 & 1117 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1135 look for further upside with 1142.5 & 1148 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.

OIL

Pivot: 47
Likely scenario: Short positions below 47 with targets @ 43.2 & 41.75 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 47 look for further upside with 48.7 & 49.4 as targets.
Comment: As long as 47 is resistance, likely decline to 43.2.

DAX

Pivot: 10440
Likely scenario: Short positions below 10440 with targets @ 9780 & 9645 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 10440 look for further upside with 10650 & 10735 as targets.
Comment: As long as 10440 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.