Today's Trading Plan: Two Different Trading Worlds
Technical Analysis:
- Another day for the S&P 500 (SPX) where it manages to close with a doji candle pattern. The market, as has been the case all year long, shows some willingness early on to sell-off, only for the dip buyers to bail it out before the end of the day.
- Volume on SPDRs S&P 500 (SPY) fell for a third consecutive day and below recent average levels.
- If SPX breaks out to the upside here following this 3-day holding pattern, the breakout should probably be respected, though I wouldn't expect a move like what we saw out of it early last week.
- The only issue that remains is the massive move way outside the daily bands on Russell 2000 (IWM) and Dow Jones Industrial (DIA) where price is extremely stretched and overbought.
- Speaking of IWM, the volume there over the last four days has been monumental with massive amounts of buying taking place.
- Don't chase in this market - it isn't the time to suddenly decide you want to buy the financials.
- Three straight days of the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX ) wanting to bounce but getting squashed each time before the market closes. Notice the very large candle shadows above the candle bodies.
- 30-minute chart of SPX shows a healthy triangle pattern that may breakout to the upside today.
- There is a clear rotation taking place in this market where money is flowing from tech and utilities and into defense, banks, and infrastructure.
- Poor breadth continues to dominate this market over the last three trading sessions.
My Trades:
- Did not close out any positions yesterday.
- Added one new position to the portfolio yesterday.
- Will look to add 1-2 new swing trades to the portfolio today.
- Currently 20% Short / 80% Cash
Chart for SPX:
Disclosure: None.
Thanks Ryan for sharing