The Market’s Bulging Belly Defies Heat And Gravity

What’s wrong with this picture?

In 90-degree heat, a grown man wears dark colors, long sleeves, jeans and hiking boots.

His bulging belly, which should defy holding up a hula hoop, keeps it circling regardless. He appears serene in his own, might I say alternate world.

After Tuesday’s crash and Wednesday’s dash, Thursday tested the bull’s bulging belly’s ability to keep the hula circling.

Nasdaq and Semiconductors return to unconfirmed Warning Phases.

The money rotated into Financials and Regional Banks, both of which now confirmed a Bullish Phase.

Last night I wrote about the great feedback this week’s action offers you and your trading strategies.

I shared with you that in our discretionary model, we lost two longs using breakeven sell stops.

I mentioned that our feedback comes in the way of planning sell stops in case the market tanks again.

To date, the other long positions (and one short) haven’t stopped us out.

Yet the positions, profitable from original entries, lost mark to market.

Should we worry?

Or, should we emulate our happy hula man existing as die hard bulls serene in an alternate universe?

I also wrote last night about one of those positions we did not lose, the Brazil ETF or EWZ.

For consistency’s sake, I report that we are still in it today. Although mark to market (closing price to closing price) we gave back a bit of the profits, the entry level is lower than today’s closing price.

But what about the rest of the market?

As tempting as it is to call a top, my go-to’s are still in decent shape.

The Russell 2000 held 140.

Indeed, the top of the channel resistance at 142.90 area looks further away. However, with the end of June tomorrow, a close above 140 most likely means the market is not done.

A close below 140 and even with support all the way down to 133.50, the likelihood of IWM visiting that level increases.

Hand in hand or hula in hula with IWM is Transportation, IYT.

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