S&P 500 Snapshot: Presidential Debate Anxiety Erases Fed Rally

Major markets around the globe sold off today with the pundits pointing to tonight's US presidential debate as the main source of market anxiety. Our benchmark S&P 500 plunged at the open and, after a puny bounce, sold off to a narrow mid-afternoon trading range. The index closed with a 0.86% loss, a tad above its 0.91% intraday low moments before the close. Today's loss essentially erased the no-rate-hike rally that began last Wednesday with the release of the September FOMC statement.

The yield on the 10-year note closed at 1.59%, down three basis points from the previous close.

Here is a snapshot of past five sessions in the S&P 500.

S&P 500

Here is daily chart of the index. Volume on today's selling was unremarkable.

S&P 500

A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here's a snapshot of selloffs since the 2009 trough.

S&P 500 Drawdowns

Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted.

S&P 500 MAs

Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages.

S&P 500 MAs

A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We've also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.

S&P 500 Snapshot

Disclosure: None.

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Chee Hin Teh 7 years ago Member's comment

Thanks for sharing