Natural Gas Takes A Breather

After spiking over 4% yesterday, the October natural contract pulled back slightly today, settling down a bit less than a percent. 

natural gas commodity weather

On the day the October contract saw by far the largest loss with the rest of the strip more stable. 

natural gas commodity weather

The result was a decent move back in the V/X October/November spread that has been on a tear as of late. 

natural gas commodity weather

In our Morning Update we warned that, "...a bit more short-term upside with lingering cash strength wins out." However, we highlighted that such a rally was unlikely to be sustained, which verified well on the day. Little of this appeared weather-driven, however, with relatively small overnight GWDD changes. 

natural gas commodity weather

Climate Prediction Center forecasts continued to pick up on the Week 2 cold risks we had been highlighting for clients the last 36 hours as well. 

natural gas commodity weather

Meanwhile, traders are preparing for tomorrow's EIA print, where we are looking for a larger injection than the previous week thanks to far less weather-driven natural gas demand this past week. Gas Weighted Degree Days fell off significantly week-over-week and are the lowest for a week since the past spring. 

natural gas commodity weather

 

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