Making Money No Matter Who Wins

The market has fluctuated in recent days as the race tightened and uncertainty increased. And polls indicate that Americans feel anxious no matter who wins the vote today. Unfortunately, there's nothing we can do about the direction of the country, but what we can do is to hopefully ease your minds a little by using our indicators to help you make winning trades.

Our latest closeout was a 17.2 percent winner. On Halloween, we recommending purchasing the SPY March 210 put to bet against the S&P 500. 3 days later, we closed out the position for the 17.2 percent gain after our stock indicator became slightly less bearish. 

At Leeb’s Aggressive Trader, it doesn’t really matter WHAT the market is doing...

We have indicators that forecast the direction of stocks, bonds, gold, silver, oil, the dollar and others. We continued to work on and improve our indicators and the results speak for themselves!

Since the calendar flipped to 2016, 18 of our 23 indicator-based option trades have been winners. Overall, the 23 trades averaged a gross gain of 15.5 percent over an average holding period of 15 days!

Here are our trade results! Including all the winners and losers!

  • TLT June 125 call: Recommended buy on January 12 and recommended sell on February 3. In a mere 22 days, this option gained 72.5 percent.
     
  • GLD September 117 put: We are major gold bulls for the long run, but it doesn’t mean we cannot also make money when our gold indicator turns bearish! We recommended this put option on February 12 as a short-term hedge against a gold correction and we made an 18.8 percent gain in only 4 days.
     
  • UUP June 25 call: A bullish bet on the U.S. dollar, recommended buy on February 19, recommend sell just a week later for a 24.6 percent gain.
     
  • SPY June 194 call and SPY July 205 call: Originally recommended on January 12 and rolled over into the SPY July 205 call on March 2, had a compounded gain of 15.3 percent in 57 days.
     
  • GLD June 121 put: We listened to our gold indicator again and recommended this put on March 8 and enjoyed a 6.9 percent gain in 1 day.
     
  • LNG June 40 call: Though this was not our usual ETF option trade, we recommended a long position on LNG because our oil and oil-stock indicators were positive. In a holding period of less than 2 full days, we realized an 18.9 percent gain
     
  • SLV September 15 call: After a long period in bearish territory, our silver indicator quickly turned bullish, and on April 5 we recommended this call option. We closed the trade six days later for a 35.8 percent gain.
     
  • XLE June 65 call: This was our only losing trade. We recommended the call on March 21 and closed it on April for a 9.5 percent loss.
     
  • GDX June 23 put: In a reversal of our usual trade recommendation, we recommended selling to open this put as a bullish bet on gold miners. We closed out the trade in 8 days for an exact break-even return.
     
  • GDX July 27 call: Showing that our service is extremely flexible, when our gold-miners indicator turned bearish, we recommended selling to open the GDX July 27 call, betting against gold stocks. In just 1 day, we made a gain of 29.7 percent!
     
  • UUP September 24 call: On May 5, we closed out our bullish bet on the greenback for a 24.5 percent gain in 3 days. Another winner thanks to our dollar indicator.
     
  • FCX August 12 call: Our copper indicator was saying "buy." Because there are no liquid copper ETFs, we recommended buying a call option on the stock of the biggest copper  company in the world. Bingo! Two days later, we closed the position for an 11.5 percent gain.
     
  • TLT August 130 call: Right before the May jobs report, we closed out this position to reduce risk despite a still bullish bond indicator signal. It turns out we did so prematurely as a shockingly weak May jobs report helped bonds rally. Our return on this trade was a 0.3 percent loss, essentially breakeven. Had we listened to the indicator, our result on this trade would have been much better!
     
  • GDX September 26 call: We achieved a 15.3 percent gain in 7 days. During this period, the S&P 500 suffered its longest losing streak since last August, proving that by following our indicator signals, one could make profitable trades in up or down markets.
     
  • GDX September 25 call: On Wednesday, with the U.K. referendum looming, we knew buying a call in the miner ETF would be super risky because the option will likely swing sharply one way or another depending on the result of the vote. But our gold-indicator said buy and we listened. While the S&P 500 fell more 3.6 percent on the day after the vote, we closed the trade that morning for a cool 55.7 percent gain in only 2 days!
     
  • We are ardent silver bulls, we recommended the silver ETF iShares Silver Trust (SLV) in January. When our silver indicator turned bearish, on June 6 we sold a covered call against our SLV holding to hedge against potential short-term weakness.

    Our silver indicator was wrong this time, but because it's a covered call, the loss in the option was offset by the gain in the silver ETF. Last week we closed the entire position for a 3.5 percent gain on the covered call. The SLV position gained a net of 18.3 percent--note that in the interest of fairness, for our indicator-based option trades average, we count only the lower 3.5 percent return.
     
  • In August, we closed out two precious metal ETF options for small gains. On August 5, we closed out the GDX January 30 call for a 1.1 percent gain after 21 calendar days. On August 15, we closed out the SLV January put for a 3.1 percent gain after holding for 4 days. Frankly we were not pleased with the measly gains but at least we fulfilled our most important objective: to avoid major losses in any one trade.
     
  • On August 22, we bet against silver again by recommending purchasing the SLV April 17.50 put. Three days later we closed out the trade for a cool 11.9 percent gain.
     
  • On September 14, we recommended purchasing the GDX March 26put option. The trade got off to a poor start after the Fed struck a surprisingly dovish tone at its FOMC confab a week later, which helped gold and gold stocks. But our gold stock indicator was still decidedly bearish and we stuck to our guns. Our trust in our indicators paid off. On October 4, we closed out the trade for a 33.8 percent gain after a holding period of 20 days!
     
  • We then went through our first two-trade losing streak. On July 21, we recommended longing the U.S. dollar by purchasing the UUP January 24 call. On September 14, we recommended shorting stocks by purchasing the SPY March 214 put. Neither trade worked in our favor. We closed the two trades in October for a loss of 15.1 percent and 17.9 percent respectively. There were by far our worst option trades of the year.

And YES, these are actual option trades we’ve recommended in 2016.

I’ve made it as effortless as possible for you to bank these gains. If it were any simpler, I’d have to deposit your checks for you.

Disclosure: None.

See our Leeb's Real World Investing June issue for our recommended silver plays.

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