Dow Top-Ten List Remains Static

DOW Top-Ten List Remains Static

We track more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities.When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient--an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.

We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.

We can use our data to track individual stocks, industries, sectors, and indices. For today's bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the Dow Jones Industrials. The companies listed below represent the top stocks within the index. They are presented below according to their one-month forecast gain.

When we look at our DOW top-ten list lately, two things are true; we typically see very little turnover, and Verizon is number one. This month is no different. Since we last presented the top Dow picks on September 8th, we have just one new company in our list, and VZ remains ensconced in the first spot.

JPMorgan Chase is our sole newcomer this month, DuPont has held its ninth spot. United Technologies has fallen out of the top ten. Intel, Traveler's, Johnson and Johnson, and Merck have moved up a few spots. At the same time, Cisco, United Health, and IBM have declined to make room for the climbers.

Also, be advised that we have no STRONG BUY-rated stocks in the DOW right now. JPMorgan Chase, United Health, DuPont, and IBM are NOT ranked BUY, they are all currently rated as HOLDs by our models.

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

1-M Forecast Retn

1-Yr Forecast Retn

P/E Ratio

Sector Name

Sept. 8th, 2016

VZ

VERIZON COMM

50.3

-4.45%

13.54%

0.75%

9.03%

12.93

Utilities

VZ

INTC

INTEL CORP

37.13

3.67%

15.27%

0.63%

7.51%

14.34

Computer and Technology

CSCO

TRV

TRAVELERS COS

115.35

5.86%

11.21%

0.58%

6.93%

11.88

Finance

INTC

JNJ

JOHNSON & JOHNS

117.97

4.28%

22.90%

0.56%

6.75%

18.15

Medical

TRV

MRK

MERCK & CO INC

61.66

13.58%

21.59%

0.51%

6.14%

16.53

Medical

JNJ

JPM

JPMORGAN CHASE

68.13

10.77%

10.39%

0.48%

5.74%

12.08

Finance

UTX

CSCO

CISCO SYSTEMS

30.34

2.03%

8.51%

0.42%

5.00%

14.11

Computer and Technology

UNH

UNH

UNITEDHEALTH GP

135.1

-3.47%

10.28%

0.32%

3.80%

18.63

Medical

IBM

DD

DU PONT (EI) DE

68.78

15.83%

23.57%

0.28%

3.41%

23.08

Basic Materials

DD

IBM

INTL BUS MACH

154.29

-1.03%

2.08%

0.28%

3.36%

11.56

Computer and Technology

MRK

NOTE: New stocks are in BOLD.

Below is today's data on Merck (MRK):

Merck & Co., Inc. is a global research-driven pharmaceutical company dedicated to putting patients first. Established in 1891, Merck discovers, develops, manufactures and markets vaccines and medicines to address unmet medical needs. The company devotes extensive efforts to increase access to medicines through far-reaching programs that not only donate Merck medicines but help deliver them to the people who need them. Merck also publishes unbiased health information as a not-for-profit service.

RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its BUY recommendation on MERCK & CO INC for 2016-10-12. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that MERCK & CO INC has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Sharpe Ratio.
 

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

61.98 0.51%

3-Month

63.46 2.92%

6-Month

65.45 6.14%

1-Year

65.44 6.14%

2-Year

72.80 18.07%

3-Year

78.28 26.95%

Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

52.89%

Stocks Overvalued

47.11%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

20.96%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

15.38%

Sector Overview

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

0.19%

-2.15%

16.30%

5.58% overvalued

13.31%

23.26

Basic Materials

-0.34%

-1.87%

16.21%

4.11% overvalued

7.05%

29.84

Industrial Products

0.09%

2.32%

21.39%

3.86% overvalued

-3.54%

26.34

Consumer Staples

0.06%

-2.04%

9.04%

3.63% overvalued

11.68%

21.70

Oils-Energy

0.20%

-0.81%

6.86%

2.17% overvalued

0.90%

20.82

Computer and Technology

0.41%

-1.47%

9.22%

1.92% overvalued

8.80%

23.95

Utilities

0.31%

-0.86%

6.38%

0.22% overvalued

3.39%

16.56

Aerospace

0.16%

-2.69%

41.29%

0.27% undervalued

51.30%

28.66

Finance

-0.28%

-1.07%

1.62%

0.62% undervalued

5.73%

17.84

Transportation

0.31%

-1.62%

12.93%

1.28% undervalued

0.47%

24.39

Business Services

-0.46%

-0.25%

10.96%

2.96% undervalued

-15.07%

16.66

Consumer Discretionary

-0.04%

-1.30%

8.23%

3.38% undervalued

-0.12%

22.93

Construction

0.18%

-1.27%

29.77%

4.88% undervalued

13.80%

19.79

Auto-Tires-Trucks

0.05%

-0.33%

7.38%

5.00% undervalued

4.33%

15.16

Retail-Wholesale

0.05%

-0.47%

0.15%

5.25% undervalued

0.02%

22.07

Medical

-0.84%

-1.51%

1.32%

5.83% undervalued

-7.23%

25.55

We are an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 7,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day. 

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 47.11% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 15.38% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Seven sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

Disclaimer: ValuEngine.com is an independent research ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.
Chee Hin Teh 7 years ago Member's comment

thanks for sharing