A Bounce Today?

My Swing Trading Approach

No new positions for me added on Friday. Didn't like the price action and chose to stay on the sidelines instead. This morning, I will be most interested in whether the bulls can hold the gap up, and I will be looking to add 1-2 new trades to the portfolio this morning. 

Indicators

  • Volatility Index (VIX) - Still unable to close at the highs of the day, however there is a fairly well defined inverse head and shoulders pattern that has developed and could see a break higher as a result. 
  • T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): Not liking the overall look, especially if it loses the $45 level which would mark a lower-low being established. Currently sitting at 48% following Friday's 6.3% sell-off. 
  • Moving averages (SPX): Tested and held the 20-day moving average on Friday. 

Sectors to Watch Today

No major winners on Friday, but Telecom did manage to bounce off of its 50-day moving average. Technology displayed relative strength by pulling back to the June lows and bouncing perfectly off of them. Looking for a good bounce out of them here. Healthcare in a bull flag pattern. Energy near the bottom of their recent channel - may see a breakdown here, following six straight days of selling. Utilities sporting a quasi bearish kicker pattern today and could also be forming a double top in the short-term.

My Market Sentiment

The 20-day moving average and short-term support managed to hold strong for the bulls yesterday. Look for a bounce today. 

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

swing trading strategy report 282

Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance

  • 2 Long Positions

Click here to download my Allocation Spreadsheet.

Get all ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.