Large Cap Report Best And Worst

The highest scoring names in large cap from 1 year ago (4/23/2013) returned an average 21.37% in the past year.  Performance has been led MGA up 76%, NOC up 75%, MCK up 62%, HAL up 55%, and EQT up 55%.

  • The top scoring sector is utilities.
  • The best large cap industry is industrial metals & minerals.

The average large cap score pops to 59.86 this week, moving it above the four week moving average score of 58.23. The average large cap is trading -10.5% below its 52 week high, 2.78% above its 200 dma, has 4.09 days to cover held short, and is expected to post EPS growth of 13.96% next year.
 
The best scoring large cap sector remains utilities. Industrial goods, basic materials, and consumer goods also score above average. Watch independent oil & gas given May and June are historically robust periods for seasonal outperformance.  Healthcare and technology score in line. Services and financials score below average.
 

LG CAP       4/24/2014 4 Week MA
Company Name Symbol Sector INDUSTRY SCORE SCORE
BEST          
Amphenol Corp APH TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS 105 102.5
Burger King BKW SERVICES RESTAURANTS 105 102.5
Eqt Corp EQT UTILITIES GAS UTILITIES 105 103.75
Johnson & Johnson JNJ HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 105 98.75
Kellogg Company K CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 105 98.75
Autonation AN SERVICES AUTO DEALERSHIPS 100 76.25
Avalonbay Comm. AVB FINANCIALS REITS 100 95
Chesapeake Energy CHK BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 100 81.25
EnCana Corp ECA BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 100 100
Edison Intl EIX UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 100 100
Essex Ppty Trust ESS FINANCIALS REITS 100 92.5
Edwards Lifesciences EW HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 100 98.75
General Dynamics GD INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 100 97.5
Goodyear Tire GT CONSUMER GOODS RUBBER & PLASTICS 100 95
Illumina ILMN HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 100 96.25
Eli Lilly LLY HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 100 96.25
Microchip Tech MCHP TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 100 97.5
Merck MRK HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 100 98.75
Nextera Energy NEE UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 100 98.75
O'Reilly Auto ORLY SERVICES AUTO PARTS STORES 100 97.5
Pentair PNR INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS 100 98.75
Wisconsin Energy WEC UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 100 100
Alexion Pharma ALXN HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 95 86.25
Autozone AZO SERVICES AUTO PARTS STORES 95 91.25
Brown Forman Corp BF.B CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 95 92.5
Core Lab CLB BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 95 96.25
Cummins Inc CMI INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 95 86.25
Camden Ppty CPT FINANCIALS REITS 95 93.75
C V S Corp CVS SERVICES DRUG STORES 95 92.5
Walt Disney Company DIS SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 95 92.5
Dover Corp DOV INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 95 93.75
The Directv Group Inc DTV TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 95 93.75
DaVita Inc DVA HEALTHCARE SPECIALIZED HEALTH SERVICES 95 93.75
Eastman Chemical Co EMN BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 95 93.75
E O G Resources EOG BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 95 93.75
Entergy Corp New ETR UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 95 88.75
Green Mtn. Coffee Roasters GMCR CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 95 93.75
Halliburton HAL BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 95 93.75
L3 Communications LLL SERVICES SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES 95 92.5
Lorillard Inc LO CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 95 92.5
Mdu Res Group Inc MDU INDUSTRIAL GOODS GENERAL BUILDING MATERIALS 95 93.75
M & T Bank MTB FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 95 81.25
Noble Energy NBL BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 95 75
Northrup Grumman NOC INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 95 86.25
P P L Corp PPL UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 95 93.75
Quanta Svcs Inc PWR INDUSTRIAL GOODS GENERAL CONTRACTORS 95 92.5
Reynolds American RAI CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 95 93.75
Scana Corp New SCG UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 95 92.5
S L Green SLG FINANCIALS REITS 95 93.75
Snap On Inc SNA INDUSTRIAL GOODS SMALL TOOLS & ACCESSORIES 95 80
Constellation Brands STZ CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 95 92.5
A T & T T TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 95 75
Transdigm Group Inc. TDG INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 95 95
Tyson Foods TSN CONSUMER GOODS MEAT PRODUCTS 95 96.25
Under Armor UA CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 95 92.5
United Tech. UTX CONGLOMERATES CONGLOMERATES 95 75
Weatherfold International Inc WFT BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 95 93.75
Xcel Energy Inc XEL UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 95 95
           
WORST          
A S M L Holding ASML TECHNOLOGY   15 21.25
Bed Bath & Beyond BBBY SERVICES HOME FURNISHING & FIXTURES 15 16.25
Mattel Inc MAT CONSUMER GOODS TOYS & GAMES 15 16.25
Alcatel ALU TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 20 22.5
American Movil AMX TECHNOLOGY WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 20 26.25
Darden Restaurants Inc DRI SERVICES RESTAURANTS 20 28.75
Fireeye Inc FEYE TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 20 25
Incyte Corp INCY HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 20 21.25
Leucadia Nat'l LUK CONGLOMERATES CONGLOMERATES 20 22.5
Nomura Holdings NMR FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 20 17.5
Rackspace Hosting Inc. RAX TECHNOLOGY INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES 20 20
Sei Investments Co SEIC FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 20 20
Companhia Sid SID BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 20 22.5


The following chart shows historical large cap scores since 2010.

The top scoring large cap industry is industrial metals & minerals. Electric and diversified utilities both score among the best industries this week. Domestic telecom moves into the list this week. Drug stores remain strong scoring and benefit from patent expiration driven generic fill-rates, which boost pharmacy margin. In store clinics offer additional support to front end foot traffic.

In basics, buy industrial metals & minerals, independent oil & gas, and pipelines. Natural gas enjoys robust seasonality in May and June. Higher natural gas prices and rising electricity generation support utility coal spot market buys given lower inventory levels at plants. In consumer goods, focus on auto parts, beverages, and processed & packaged goods. European auto recovery supports parts demand. Passenger car registrations in the EU jumped 8.4% in the first quarter versus a year ago, including a 10.6% spike from last year in March.  
 

In financials, buy REITs, money centers, and credit services. REITs continue to benefit from improving vacancy rates supporting effective rents. Apartment vacancy levels support capacity additions. Additional room for improvement remains in office and retail. Healthcare REITs are particularly intriguing. Across healthcare, drug makers, medical appliances, and medical instruments score best. Drug spending trends continue to support next generation therapies. Spending on diabetes treatment, for example, grew 14% in 2013 and is expected to climb double digits per year through 2017, according to Express Scripts.  Last year, spending on specialty drugs grew more than 14%, a trend expected to accelerate this year to 16.8% following the launch of new high priced hepatitis C drugs.

Every industrial goods group scores above average, led by aerospace/defense. Industrial equipment and diversified machinery are also high scoring. In services, drug stores, rails, and diversified entertainment score best. The best technology groups include domestic telecom, semi ICs, and broadline semi. The SEMI book to bill was 1.00 in March. Scientific & technical instruments also score highly.  Electric, diversified, and foreign utilities are all attractive, supported by solid seasonality through the shoulder months.

LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR   4/24/2014
Sector Industry SCORE
     
BASIC MATERIALS INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS 85.00
BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 75.88
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS PIPELINES 75.00
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 68.64
BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 67.50
BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 64.17
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING 60.00
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 59.44
BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 53.00
BASIC MATERIALS GOLD 45.00
BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 35.71
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO PARTS 75.83
CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 68.89
CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 68.75
CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 67.50
CONSUMER GOODS FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 60.00
CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 58.33
CONSUMER GOODS PERSONAL PRODUCTS 50.00
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR 45.00
FINANCIALS REITS 74.76
FINANCIALS MONEY CENTER BANKS 59.44
FINANCIALS CREDIT SERVICES 58.75
FINANCIALS LIFE INSURANCE 53.33
FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 52.50
FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 49.50
FINANCIALS INSURANCE BROKERS 47.50
FINANCIALS FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS 45.00
FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 43.75
FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 40.63
FINANCIALS SAVINGS & LOANS 40.00
HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 66.09
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 55.63
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 53.33
HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 52.92
HEALTHCARE HEALTH CARE PLANS 43.00
INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 75.50
INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS 70.00
INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 67.14
INDUSTRIAL GOODS FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 59.00
SERVICES DRUG STORES 76.25
SERVICES RAILROADS 71.00
SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 62.50
SERVICES GROCERY STORES 60.00
SERVICES LODGING 60.00
SERVICES RESTAURANTS 57.00
SERVICES CATV SYSTEMS 55.00
SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 55.00
SERVICES BUSINESS SERVICES 54.00
SERVICES AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES 51.25
SERVICES APPAREL STORES 50.00
SERVICES DRUGS WHOLESALE 50.00
SERVICES RESORTS AND CASINOS 48.33
SERVICES DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES 47.50
TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 78.33
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS 70.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE 68.75
TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 67.50
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 66.88
TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 65.00
TECHNOLOGY DATA STORAGE DEVICES 63.75
TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 63.00
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER 62.50
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES 61.67
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS 58.33
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 58.00
TECHNOLOGY TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE 53.33
TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 53.00
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES 51.50
TECHNOLOGY WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 37.50
UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 80.00
UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 76.00
UTILITIES FOREIGN UTILITIES 65.00

 

None.

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