Large Cap Report Best And Worst
The highest scoring names in large cap from 1 year ago (4/23/2013) returned an average 21.37% in the past year. Performance has been led MGA up 76%, NOC up 75%, MCK up 62%, HAL up 55%, and EQT up 55%.
- The top scoring sector is utilities.
- The best large cap industry is industrial metals & minerals.
The average large cap score pops to 59.86 this week, moving it above the four week moving average score of 58.23. The average large cap is trading -10.5% below its 52 week high, 2.78% above its 200 dma, has 4.09 days to cover held short, and is expected to post EPS growth of 13.96% next year.
The best scoring large cap sector remains utilities. Industrial goods, basic materials, and consumer goods also score above average. Watch independent oil & gas given May and June are historically robust periods for seasonal outperformance. Healthcare and technology score in line. Services and financials score below average.
LG CAP | 4/24/2014 | 4 Week MA | |||
Company Name | Symbol | Sector | INDUSTRY | SCORE | SCORE |
BEST | |||||
Amphenol Corp | APH | TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS | 105 | 102.5 |
Burger King | BKW | SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 105 | 102.5 |
Eqt Corp | EQT | UTILITIES | GAS UTILITIES | 105 | 103.75 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 105 | 98.75 |
Kellogg Company | K | CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 105 | 98.75 |
Autonation | AN | SERVICES | AUTO DEALERSHIPS | 100 | 76.25 |
Avalonbay Comm. | AVB | FINANCIALS | REITS | 100 | 95 |
Chesapeake Energy | CHK | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 100 | 81.25 |
EnCana Corp | ECA | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 100 | 100 |
Edison Intl | EIX | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 100 | 100 |
Essex Ppty Trust | ESS | FINANCIALS | REITS | 100 | 92.5 |
Edwards Lifesciences | EW | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 100 | 98.75 |
General Dynamics | GD | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 100 | 97.5 |
Goodyear Tire | GT | CONSUMER GOODS | RUBBER & PLASTICS | 100 | 95 |
Illumina | ILMN | HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 100 | 96.25 |
Eli Lilly | LLY | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 100 | 96.25 |
Microchip Tech | MCHP | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 100 | 97.5 |
Merck | MRK | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 100 | 98.75 |
Nextera Energy | NEE | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 100 | 98.75 |
O'Reilly Auto | ORLY | SERVICES | AUTO PARTS STORES | 100 | 97.5 |
Pentair | PNR | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS | 100 | 98.75 |
Wisconsin Energy | WEC | UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 100 | 100 |
Alexion Pharma | ALXN | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 95 | 86.25 |
Autozone | AZO | SERVICES | AUTO PARTS STORES | 95 | 91.25 |
Brown Forman Corp | BF.B | CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 95 | 92.5 |
Core Lab | CLB | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 95 | 96.25 |
Cummins Inc | CMI | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 86.25 |
Camden Ppty | CPT | FINANCIALS | REITS | 95 | 93.75 |
C V S Corp | CVS | SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 95 | 92.5 |
Walt Disney Company | DIS | SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 95 | 92.5 |
Dover Corp | DOV | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 95 | 93.75 |
The Directv Group Inc | DTV | TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 95 | 93.75 |
DaVita Inc | DVA | HEALTHCARE | SPECIALIZED HEALTH SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Eastman Chemical Co | EMN | BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 95 | 93.75 |
E O G Resources | EOG | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 95 | 93.75 |
Entergy Corp New | ETR | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 95 | 88.75 |
Green Mtn. Coffee Roasters | GMCR | CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 95 | 93.75 |
Halliburton | HAL | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
L3 Communications | LLL | SERVICES | SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES | 95 | 92.5 |
Lorillard Inc | LO | CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 95 | 92.5 |
Mdu Res Group Inc | MDU | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | GENERAL BUILDING MATERIALS | 95 | 93.75 |
M & T Bank | MTB | FINANCIALS | REGIONAL BANKS | 95 | 81.25 |
Noble Energy | NBL | BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 95 | 75 |
Northrup Grumman | NOC | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 95 | 86.25 |
P P L Corp | PPL | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 95 | 93.75 |
Quanta Svcs Inc | PWR | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | GENERAL CONTRACTORS | 95 | 92.5 |
Reynolds American | RAI | CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 95 | 93.75 |
Scana Corp New | SCG | UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 95 | 92.5 |
S L Green | SLG | FINANCIALS | REITS | 95 | 93.75 |
Snap On Inc | SNA | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | SMALL TOOLS & ACCESSORIES | 95 | 80 |
Constellation Brands | STZ | CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 95 | 92.5 |
A T & T | T | TECHNOLOGY | TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC | 95 | 75 |
Transdigm Group Inc. | TDG | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 95 | 95 |
Tyson Foods | TSN | CONSUMER GOODS | MEAT PRODUCTS | 95 | 96.25 |
Under Armor | UA | CONSUMER GOODS | TEXTILES | 95 | 92.5 |
United Tech. | UTX | CONGLOMERATES | CONGLOMERATES | 95 | 75 |
Weatherfold International Inc | WFT | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Xcel Energy Inc | XEL | UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 95 | 95 |
WORST | |||||
A S M L Holding | ASML | TECHNOLOGY | 15 | 21.25 | |
Bed Bath & Beyond | BBBY | SERVICES | HOME FURNISHING & FIXTURES | 15 | 16.25 |
Mattel Inc | MAT | CONSUMER GOODS | TOYS & GAMES | 15 | 16.25 |
Alcatel | ALU | TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 20 | 22.5 |
American Movil | AMX | TECHNOLOGY | WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS | 20 | 26.25 |
Darden Restaurants Inc | DRI | SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 20 | 28.75 |
Fireeye Inc | FEYE | TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 20 | 25 |
Incyte Corp | INCY | HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 20 | 21.25 |
Leucadia Nat'l | LUK | CONGLOMERATES | CONGLOMERATES | 20 | 22.5 |
Nomura Holdings | NMR | FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 20 | 17.5 |
Rackspace Hosting Inc. | RAX | TECHNOLOGY | INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES | 20 | 20 |
Sei Investments Co | SEIC | FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 20 | 20 |
Companhia Sid | SID | BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 20 | 22.5 |
The following chart shows historical large cap scores since 2010.
The top scoring large cap industry is industrial metals & minerals. Electric and diversified utilities both score among the best industries this week. Domestic telecom moves into the list this week. Drug stores remain strong scoring and benefit from patent expiration driven generic fill-rates, which boost pharmacy margin. In store clinics offer additional support to front end foot traffic.
In basics, buy industrial metals & minerals, independent oil & gas, and pipelines. Natural gas enjoys robust seasonality in May and June. Higher natural gas prices and rising electricity generation support utility coal spot market buys given lower inventory levels at plants. In consumer goods, focus on auto parts, beverages, and processed & packaged goods. European auto recovery supports parts demand. Passenger car registrations in the EU jumped 8.4% in the first quarter versus a year ago, including a 10.6% spike from last year in March.
In financials, buy REITs, money centers, and credit services. REITs continue to benefit from improving vacancy rates supporting effective rents. Apartment vacancy levels support capacity additions. Additional room for improvement remains in office and retail. Healthcare REITs are particularly intriguing. Across healthcare, drug makers, medical appliances, and medical instruments score best. Drug spending trends continue to support next generation therapies. Spending on diabetes treatment, for example, grew 14% in 2013 and is expected to climb double digits per year through 2017, according to Express Scripts. Last year, spending on specialty drugs grew more than 14%, a trend expected to accelerate this year to 16.8% following the launch of new high priced hepatitis C drugs.
Every industrial goods group scores above average, led by aerospace/defense. Industrial equipment and diversified machinery are also high scoring. In services, drug stores, rails, and diversified entertainment score best. The best technology groups include domestic telecom, semi ICs, and broadline semi. The SEMI book to bill was 1.00 in March. Scientific & technical instruments also score highly. Electric, diversified, and foreign utilities are all attractive, supported by solid seasonality through the shoulder months.
LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR | 4/24/2014 | |
Sector | Industry | SCORE |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS | 85.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 75.88 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS PIPELINES | 75.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 68.64 |
BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 67.50 |
BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 64.17 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING | 60.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION | 59.44 |
BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 53.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | GOLD | 45.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 35.71 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO PARTS | 75.83 |
CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 68.89 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 68.75 |
CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 67.50 |
CONSUMER GOODS | FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 60.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | TEXTILES | 58.33 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PERSONAL PRODUCTS | 50.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR | 45.00 |
FINANCIALS | REITS | 74.76 |
FINANCIALS | MONEY CENTER BANKS | 59.44 |
FINANCIALS | CREDIT SERVICES | 58.75 |
FINANCIALS | LIFE INSURANCE | 53.33 |
FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 52.50 |
FINANCIALS | REGIONAL BANKS | 49.50 |
FINANCIALS | INSURANCE BROKERS | 47.50 |
FINANCIALS | FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS | 45.00 |
FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 43.75 |
FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 40.63 |
FINANCIALS | SAVINGS & LOANS | 40.00 |
HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 66.09 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 55.63 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES | 53.33 |
HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 52.92 |
HEALTHCARE | HEALTH CARE PLANS | 43.00 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 75.50 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS | 70.00 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 67.14 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY | 59.00 |
SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 76.25 |
SERVICES | RAILROADS | 71.00 |
SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 62.50 |
SERVICES | GROCERY STORES | 60.00 |
SERVICES | LODGING | 60.00 |
SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 57.00 |
SERVICES | CATV SYSTEMS | 55.00 |
SERVICES | DEPARTMENT STORES | 55.00 |
SERVICES | BUSINESS SERVICES | 54.00 |
SERVICES | AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES | 51.25 |
SERVICES | APPAREL STORES | 50.00 |
SERVICES | DRUGS WHOLESALE | 50.00 |
SERVICES | RESORTS AND CASINOS | 48.33 |
SERVICES | DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES | 47.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC | 78.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS | 70.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE | 68.75 |
TECHNOLOGY | SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS | 67.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 66.88 |
TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 65.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | DATA STORAGE DEVICES | 63.75 |
TECHNOLOGY | BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 63.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER | 62.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES | 61.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS | 58.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS | 58.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE | 53.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 53.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 51.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS | 37.50 |
UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 80.00 |
UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 76.00 |
UTILITIES | FOREIGN UTILITIES | 65.00 |
None.