Ternium SA Is A Strong Buy

Ternium, Orchid Island, and Mazda are STRONG BUY stocks. Welltower and Hikma Pharma are rated BUY. There were not five upgrades with full valuation and forecast coverage so Orchid, Mazda, and Hikma are included as a courtesy today.

For today's bulletin, we take a look at Ternium SA (TX ). Ternium S.A. manufactures and processes various steel products in Mexico, Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay, Uruguay, Colombia, the United States, Central America, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Steel and Mining. The Steel segment offers steel products, such as slabs, billets and round bars, hot-rolled coils and sheets, bars and stirrups, wire rods, cold-rolled coils and sheets, tin plates, hot dipped galvanized and electrogalvanized sheets, pre-painted sheets, steel pipes and tubular products, beams, roll formed products, and other products. The Mining segment sells iron ore concentrates and pellets. The company serves various companies and small businesses operating in construction, automotive, home appliances, capital goods, container, food, and energy industries. Ternium S.A. was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Ternium S.A. is a subsidiary of Techint Holdings.

Steel was a good industry in 2017 as the global recovery continued on and steel benefited overall. Ternium was one of the top performers. However, the industry remains plagued by too much capacity no matter the current level of demand.

US President Donal J Trump made many promises during his 2016 campaign vis-a-vis steel--just as he did for coal. However, to date, he has not done much to bolster US producers. We expect a Commerce Department report on imports and dumping any day now, but it was already delayed once back in June. It remains to be seen whether or not Trump will keep his promises to US steel-workers by taking action against foreign producers found to be unfairly competing.

Ternium is a foreign producer, so it could be negatively affected by any sort of trade war if Trump decides to do more than talk about steel dumping. So far, his promises to require US-produced steel for US infrastructure projects have not been shown to be effective--or genuine.

Below is our latest data for Ternium SA:

We updated our recommendation from BUY to STRONG BUY for TERNIUM SA-ADR on 2018-01-12. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that TERNIUM SA-ADR has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Company Size.

 

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

34.74 1.09%

3-Month

35.02 1.88%

6-Month

36.00 4.74%

1-Year

38.85 13.04%

2-Year

43.70 27.14%

3-Year

47.24 37.45%

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

22.72% overvalued

Valuation Rank

24

1-M Forecast Return

1.09%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

100

12-M Return

40.63%

Momentum Rank

81

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sharpe Ratio Rank

57

5-Y Avg Annual Return

5.87%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

59

Volatility

32.16%

Volatility Rank

49

Expected EPS Growth

-28.85%

EPS Growth Rank

7

Market Cap (billions)

6.89

Size Rank

84

Trailing P/E Ratio

8.26

Trailing P/E Rank

97

Forward P/E Ratio

11.61

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

79

PEG Ratio

n/a

PEG Ratio Rank

n/a

Price/Sales

0.80

Price/Sales Rank

77

Market/Book

1.50

Market/Book Rank

69

Beta

1.08

Beta Rank

35

Alpha

0.08

Alpha Rank

70

Disclosure: None.

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