Telecom Giant Verizon Communications Announces Acquisition Deal For AOL Inc.

Just in time to replace the Comcast/Time Warner failed mega deal, comes a new telecom acquisition. Giant telephone and cable provider Verizon announce the acquisition of AOL today. According to the Wall Street journal, "the all-cash deal values AOL at $50 a share, a 23% premium over the company’s three-month volume-weighted average price. AOL shares rose 18% in morning trading to $50.18. Verizon shares fell 1.7% to $48.98."

Of course, given the general state of disdain for AOL amongst the hipster set--with an AOL email address leading to derision and jokes about elderly subscribers still on dial up internet--one wonders what Verizon could possibly be thinking here.

Verizon Communications (VZ), formed by the merger of Bell Atlantic and GTE, is one of the world's leading providers of high-growth communications services. Verizon companies are the largest providers of wireline and wireless communications in the United States. Verizon is also the world's largest provider of print and on-line directory information.

AOL Inc. (AOL) is a leading global Web services company with an extensive suite of brands and offerings and a substantial worldwide audience. AOL's business spans online content, products and services that the company offers to consumers, publishers and advertisers. AOL is focused on attracting and engaging consumers and providing valuable online advertising services on both AOL's owned and operated properties and third-party websites. In addition, AOL operates one of the largest Internet subscription access services in the United States, which serves as a valuable distribution channel for AOL's consumer offerings.

Knowledgeable analysts note that AOL is actually a video powerhouse. The company is ranked behind only YouTube and Facebook in unique video views. The company was also in the top five for unique website visitors in March, 2015.

The company has also made a series of canny acquisitions of its own in the past few years--which include 5min Media and Adap.tv. The video services AOL controls allow for strong ad revenue, which is the holy grail for "free" internet sites. With the AOL deal, there is the potential that Verizon will finally be able to deliver television content to any device. AND this content may now be integrated with a strong targeted-ad service to provide vastly increased revenues.

Thus, this piece of the puzzle, if correctly handled, will allow Verizon to become more than just a telecom utility providing the wires, cell towers, and bandwidth for others. With this purchase, Verizon becomes both a provider of access AND content. And as they provide that content, they should be able to fully benefit from it with the targeted ad services also possessed by AOL. The purchase provides them a chance to compete with both Google and Facebook. Of course, it remains to be seen whether the company will be able to pull off this holy grail-type quest.

Prior to the announced acquisition, we had a HOLD recommendation on AOL INC . Based on the information we had gathered and our resulting research, we felt that AOL INC had the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibited ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio.

Prior to the announced acquisition, we had a BUY recommendation on VERIZON. Based on the information we had gathered and our resulting research, we felt that VERIZON COMM had the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibited ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Volatility.

Below is today's data on VZ--the new parent company for AOL:

 

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

42.54 -0.12%

3-Month

42.30 -0.69%

6-Month

42.19 -0.94%

1-Year

42.00 -1.39%

2-Year

44.43 4.32%

3-Year

38.09 -10.56%

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

5.06% overvalued

Valuation Rank

53

1-M Forecast Return

-0.12%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

43

12-M Return

12.17%

Momentum Rank

70

Sharpe Ratio

0.31

Sharpe Ratio Rank

66

5-Y Avg Annual Return

10.66%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

72

Volatility

33.89%

Volatility Rank

53

Expected EPS Growth

4.68%

EPS Growth Rank

34

Market Cap (billions)

3.32

Size Rank

79

Trailing P/E Ratio

24.91

Trailing P/E Rank

48

Forward P/E Ratio

23.79

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

25

PEG Ratio

5.32

PEG Ratio Rank

8

Price/Sales

1.29

Price/Sales Rank

61

Market/Book

5.07

Market/Book Rank

26

Beta

0.95

Beta Rank

51

Alpha

-0.17

Alpha Rank

38

Overvalued stocks now make up 64.33% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 23.53% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Sixteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with eight at or near double digits.

Disclosure: None

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