Emissions Scandal Continues As Volkswagen Audi CEO Is Arrested

VOLKSWAGEN-ADR (VLKAY) is the largest automobile manufacturer in Europe. Their activities focus on the automotive market and they offer products and services along the entire automotive value chain. With nine independent brands, they are able to offer a unique range of models from the extremely efficient 3-liter car to the great sporting tradition of Bentley. While each of the brands has a distinct personality, it also benefits from its membership of the Volkswagen Group with its global manufacturing base

Volkswagen just doesn't seem able to shake loose of their pollution-control scandal and their use of defeat devices to cheat on vehicle emissions tests. The German government has arrested luxury subsidiary Audi CEO, Rupert Stadler due to fears that he would interfere into a probe of his role in the cheating program.

Volkswagen admitted to cheating emissions tests for popular diesel models in many lines--including Audi. They have since paid @ $25 billion for various fines, penalties, and programs to replace vehicles for customers. While they settled their case in the US back in 2016, in Germany the criminal probe into the scandal continues.

We had been more hopeful for the stock for much of 2017 and 2018, but now our models have recalculated the underlying fundamentals and only find the stock to be worth a HOLD rating.

We continue our HOLD recommendation on VOLKSWAGEN-ADR for 2018-06-15. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that VOLKSWAGEN-ADR has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but UNATTRACTIVE Sharpe Ratio.

 

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

36.73 -0.02%

3-Month

35.88 -2.34%

6-Month

35.63 -3.03%

1-Year

36.64 -0.28%

2-Year

37.24 1.36%

3-Year

38.33 4.34%

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

n/a

Valuation Rank

n/a

1-M Forecast Return

-0.02%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

49

12-M Return

20.42%

Momentum Rank

70

Sharpe Ratio

-0.09

Sharpe Ratio Rank

40

5-Y Avg Annual Return

-2.76%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

38

Volatility

32.35%

Volatility Rank

48

Expected EPS Growth

36.12%

EPS Growth Rank

66

Market Cap (billions)

54.21

Size Rank

98

Trailing P/E Ratio

7.35

Trailing P/E Rank

97

Forward P/E Ratio

5.40

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

96

PEG Ratio

0.20

PEG Ratio Rank

76

Price/Sales

0.20

Price/Sales Rank

95

Market/Book

0.93

Market/Book Rank

82

Beta

1.82

Beta Rank

12

Alpha

-0.04

Alpha Rank

45

Disclosure: None.

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Comments

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Duanne Johnson 5 years ago Member's comment

I'm amazed this isn't bigger news. You seem to be the only author writing about it here. I wonder how involved the CEO was with this scandal. I know it's ultimately his responsibility, but did it come from the top? $VLKAY