USD/CAD Short Trade Setup

USD/CAD Daily View [last 1.3133]: I am looking for minor Wave-[c] to carry down to at least 1.2968, but prefer the Alternative count to 1.2851--a 61.8% retracement of Wave-A. Key support comes in at 1.3106. Bank of Canada rate hike expectations are rising on the back of last week's inflation report. And that is showing up in the 2-year yield spread comparing CA-US (next chart below). Additionally, position in CAD is bearish; thus plenty of buying power on a re-think there (third chart below).

072318 cad daily.png

The 2-year yield spread CA-US is rising in favor of Canada of late...

072318 cad us spread.png

Canadian dollar (CAD-USD) currency futures positioning CME...lots of bears; if they change sides it represents some nice buying power for the Loonie. 

072618 cad cme pos.png

 

 

Disclaimer:  Futures, Forex and Option trading involves substantial risk, and may not be suitable for everyone. Trading should only be done with true risk capital. Past performance either actual ...

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