(Click on image to enlarge)

AUD/NZD put in quite a run over the past week gaining nearly 200 pips during that time. The rally has been driven by dovish RBNZ stance which suggested that it may actually lower rates in the near future. Meanwhile, the RBA remains resolutely neutral and the eco data has been steady, indicating that after nearly two years of inaction the central bank may want to reconsider its posture.

Tonight’s AU employment data could provide a strong clue to the strength of AU economy. If labor conditions continue to tighten further the gap between AU and NZ yields on the long part of the curve will widen out further and the pair could push towards the key 110.00 barrier. However, if the numbers miss, so rebalancing is due and the pair could retrace back to 108.00 by end of the week.