Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of February 6 And 13
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
|
Week of February 6 |
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February 7 |
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International Trade - December |
-$45.5B |
-45.2 |
-44.9 |
|
Consumer Credit - December |
$20.0B |
24.5 |
20 |
|
February 9 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
250K |
246 |
250 |
|
Wholesale Inventories - December |
0.4% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
February 10 |
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Export Prices - February |
0.0% |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
Import Prices |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p) |
98.5 |
98.5 |
98.0 |
|
Treasury Budget - January |
$38.0B |
-27.5 |
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Week of February 13 |
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February 14 |
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Producer Price Index - January |
0.2% |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services) |
0.2% |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
February 15 |
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Consumer Price Index - January |
0.3% |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
Retail Sales - January |
0.4% |
0.6 |
0.3 |
|
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
8 |
6.5 |
7.1 |
|
NAHB Index - February |
68 |
67 |
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Industrial Production - January |
0.1% |
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
Capacity Utilization |
75.5 |
75.5 |
75.4 |
|
Business Inventories - December |
0.4% |
0.7 |
0.4 |
|
February 16 |
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Housing Starts - January |
1.226M |
1.226 |
1.222 |
|
Building Permits |
1.240 |
1.210 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey |
20.0 |
23.6 |
18.7 |
|
February 17 |
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Leading Indicators - January |
0.1% |
0.5 |
0.2 |
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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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