Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 16 And October 23
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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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Week of October 16 |
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October 16 |
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NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
20.0 |
24.4 |
20.0 |
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Treasury Budget - September |
$4.0B |
-107.7 |
3.0 |
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October 17 |
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Export Prices - September |
0.5% |
0.6 |
0.5 |
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Import Prices |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
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Import Prices, ex-Energy |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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Industrial Production - August |
0.3% |
-0.9 |
0.1 |
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Capacity Utilization |
76.3 |
76.1 |
76.2 |
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Manufacturing |
0.3 |
-0.3 |
0.3 |
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NAHB Index |
66 |
64 |
64 |
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October 18 |
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Housing Starts - September |
1.190M |
1.180 |
1.170 |
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Building Permits |
1.260 |
1.300 |
.1230 |
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October 19 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
243K |
243 |
240 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey |
20.0 |
23.8 |
20.2 |
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Leading Indicators |
0.1% |
0.4 |
0.1 |
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October 20 |
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Existing Home Sales - September |
5.380M |
5.350 |
5.300 |
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Week of October 23 |
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October 23 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index |
-0.10% |
-0.31 |
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October 24 |
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PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
53 |
53.1 |
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PMI Services Flash Index |
55.1 |
55.3 |
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
15 |
19 |
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October 25 |
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Durable Goods Sales - September |
0.5% |
2.0 |
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FHFA House Price Index - August |
0.3 |
0.2 |
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New Home Sales - September |
550K |
560 |
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October 26 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
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International Trade in Goods |
-$63.9B |
-62.9 |
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Pending Home Sale Index - September |
107.7 |
106.3 |
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Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index |
17 |
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October 27 |
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GDP - Q3 (a) |
2.6% |
3.1 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - October (r) |
101.1 |
101.1 |
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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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