Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of Jan. 8 And Jan. 15
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
||||
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
||
Week of January 8 |
||||
January 8 |
||||
Consumer Credit - November |
$19.0B |
20.5 |
18.0 |
|
January 9 |
||||
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - Dec |
107.5 |
107.5 |
107.9 |
|
JOLTS - November |
6.040 |
5.996 |
6.038 |
|
January 10 |
||||
Export Prices - December |
0.2% |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
Import Prices_ December |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
|
Wholesale Inventories - November |
0.7% |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
January 11 |
||||
Initial Unemployment Claims |
240K |
250 |
245 |
|
Producer Price Index - December |
0.1% |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services) |
0.2 |
0.4 |
||
Treasury Budget - December |
-$54.0B |
-138.5 |
-32.0 |
|
January 12 |
||||
Consumer Price Index - December |
0.1% |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
Retail Sales - December |
0.6% |
0.8 |
0.5 |
|
Retail Sales, ex autos |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
|
Retail Sales, ex autos and gasoline |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
|
Business Inventories - November |
0.3% |
-0.1 |
0.3 |
|
Week of January 15 |
||||
January 16 |
||||
NY Fed Manufacturing Index - January |
19.0 |
18.0 |
||
January 17 |
||||
Industrial Production - December |
0.3% |
0.2 |
||
Capacity Utilization |
77.3 |
77.1 |
||
Manufacturing |
0.3 |
0.2 |
||
NAHB Index - January |
72 |
74 |
||
January 18 |
||||
Initial Unemployment Claims |
||||
Philadelphia Fed Index |
23 |
26.2 |
||
Housing Starts - December |
1.270K |
1.297 |
||
Building Permits |
1.300 |
1.298 |
||
January 19 |
||||
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - January (p) |
97.0 |
95.9 |
||
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
more