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February 2014 Industrial Production Improves
Article By:
Steven Hansen
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Monday, March 17, 2014 11:02 AM EDT
The headlines say seasonally adjusted Industrial Production (IP) improved in February. Econintersect‘s analysis using the unadjusted data concurs – but adds that the downward revision of the previous months makes this data set less good than what appears at first glance.
The Big Four Economic Indicators: Industrial Production
Article By:
Doug Short
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Monday, March 17, 2014 10:20 AM EDT
Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions.
March 2014 Empire State Survey Slightly Improves, Internals Mixed
Article By:
Steven Hansen
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Monday, March 17, 2014 10:11 AM EDT
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey marginally improved and remains in expansion territory in March 2014. Key internals are mixed. This is a rather soft report for an economy in expansion.
What's Behind The Sudden Improvement In US Loan Growth?
Article By:
Sober Look
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Saturday, March 15, 2014 11:05 PM EDT
Corporate America has increased in borrowing with the start of the Fed's taper. There may be a correlation between the two.
The Tanks Are Coming While Russia, US "Remain At Odds" Over Ukraine
Article By:
Tyler Durden
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Friday, March 14, 2014 4:25 PM EDT
With Interfax reporting that Belarus has begun full-scale military drills in a "readiness check", images from Russia and Ukraine suggest the worst-case scenario - that Russia is making preparations to invade Ukraine, not just Crimea but perhaps as far west as Kharkiv, or even beyond - is more possible.
Core Producer Inflation Drops By Most In 9 Months
Article By:
Tyler Durden
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Friday, March 14, 2014 12:20 PM EDT
Producer Prices in the US (less the all important food and energy - which no on uses) fell 0.2% month-over-month - the biggest drop since July 2013 - and missing expectations of a 0.1% rise.
The Hoot Of The Week
Article By:
Acting Man
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Friday, March 14, 2014 12:09 PM EDT
This is really too funny. Apparently, the Ukraine owes $3 billion to Russia in bonds that have been issued under UK law. One of the stipulations of the bonds is that if the Ukraine's debt-to-GDP ratio should exceed 60%, the bonds will become immediately callable.
ECRI Recession Watch: Weekly Update
Article By:
Doug Short
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Friday, March 14, 2014 11:39 AM EDT
The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) is at 133.8, up fractionally from 133.5 last week. The WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) at one decimal place rose to 2.3 from last week's 1.8.
Massive Fraud Has Been Unveiled At The EPA (Again)
Article By:
Tyler Durden
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Friday, March 14, 2014 11:38 AM EDT
EPA’s Inspector General found that over 90% of sampled transactions were for “prohibited, improper, or erroneous purchases.”
Is The Deep State Fracturing Into Disunity?
Article By:
Charles Hugh Smith
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Friday, March 14, 2014 11:00 AM EDT
When we speak of The Powers That Be or the Deep State, this ruling Elite is generally assumed to be monolithic: of one mind, so to speak, unified in worldview, strategy and goals.
Michigan Consumer Sentiment: March Preliminary Falls Short Of Expectations
Article By:
Doug Short
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Friday, March 14, 2014 10:37 AM EDT
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary number for March came in at 79.9, a decline from the 81.6 February final.
February 2014 Producer Prices Index Moderates
Article By:
Steven Hansen
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Friday, March 14, 2014 9:38 AM EDT
The Producer Price Index format and breakdown has been reworked this month, and it likely will take some time to make sense of this data.
The State And The Cattle
Article By:
Acting Man
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Friday, March 14, 2014 6:32 AM EDT
The brazenness of the ruling class is usually quite something to behold.
Latest Data Confirm China Slowdown
Article By:
Sober Look
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Friday, March 14, 2014 6:05 AM EDT
As a confirmation of a significant downward adjustment to China's growth (discussed here), a battery of economic reports this morning all came in materially below expectations.